Ugro Capital Limited (UGROCAP)

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Summary from May 2024

UGRO Capital Limited Earnings Call Summary (May 3, 2024)

Financial PerformanceFiscal Year Results (FY24) • AUM increased from ₹3,000 crores (FY22) to ₹9,050 crores (FY24). • Profit After Tax (PAT) rose from ₹15 crores to ₹120 crores. • Disbursements grew by 26% year-on-year to ₹5,867 crores. • Profit Before Tax (PBT) surged 113% to ₹179 crores. • Cost-to-income ratio improved from 62% to 54%. • ROA and ROE increased to 2.3% and 9.9%, respectively.

Capital Raise and AcquisitionsRecent Capital Raise • Raised ₹1,332 crores, including ₹275 crores in CCDs and ₹1,057 crores in warrants. • Acquisition of MyShubhLife • Acquired for ₹45 crores (36% cash, 64% shares). • Expected to add ₹1,500 crores in AUM and ₹100 crores in PAT over three years.

Growth StrategyFuture Goals • Targeting a sustainable growth rate of 30% over the next two years. • Aiming for a 4% ROA by FY26. • Plans to reduce cost-to-income ratio to 45%. • Focus Areas • Bridging ROA from 2.3% to 4% through yield expansion and operational efficiencies. • Emphasis on higher-yield segments and direct customer acquisition.

Risk ManagementCredit Costs and Portfolio Stability • Planned increase in credit costs to around 2% as portfolio stabilizes. • Maintaining a 70:30 secured to unsecured loan ratio to mitigate risks.

Operational EnhancementsBranch Expansion • Plans to increase branches from 105 to 400 over the next two years. • Direct Engagement Strategy • Reducing reliance on Direct Selling Agents (DSAs) to enhance customer service.

Regulatory and Market ConsiderationsGRO App Update • Pivoted to offer credit through NACH due to regulatory challenges. • EPS Growth Concerns • Projected EPS growth post-equity dilution raised questions among stakeholders.

Conclusion • UGRO Capital is committed to supporting MSMEs and aims to become a leading financial institution for small businesses in India, focusing on sustainable growth and profitability.

Summary from January 2024

UGRO Capital Limited Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Overview • Date: January 24, 2024 • Focus: Unaudited financial results for the quarter and nine months ending December 31, 2023 • Key Management: Vice Chairman and Managing Director Shachindra Nath

Financial HighlightsGrowth in MSME Sector: Average loan amounts increased from INR 40 lakh (2019) to INR 90 lakh. • Assets Under Management (AUM): 64% year-on-year growth, reaching INR 8,364 crores. • Profit After Tax (PAT): Tripled compared to previous year. • AUM Target: Aspirational target of INR 10,000 crores. • Collection Efficiency: Stable, with a slight increase in Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) to 2%.

Key DiscussionsUnsecured Loans: GNPA at 3.6%, expected lifetime GNPA between 4.5% to 5%. • Branch Expansion: New branches in UP, MP, and Andhra Pradesh; 30 locations expected by quarter-end. • Borrowing Costs: Managed despite RBI rate hikes; no significant increases anticipated. • Micro Enterprise Loans: Plans to double AUM from INR 720 crores in the next year. • Net Interest Income (NII): Flat trends, but co-lending income has increased.

Strategic InsightsCo-lending vs. Co-origination: Shift towards co-lending due to new credit guarantee schemes; co-origination volumes declining. • Credit Costs: Expected to maintain around 2% while expanding into higher-yield segments. • Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Strategic shift away from non-collateralized loans affecting net originations.

Future OutlookOff-Book AUM Target: Aim to increase to 50% sooner than expected due to new bank partnerships. • Portfolio Yields: Stability at 16.3%, potential increase of 75 to 100 basis points next year. • Underwriting Process: Focus on repayment ability over collateral for micro loans. • Operational Goals: Targeting INR 10,000 crores in AUM by financial year-end, with increased monthly disbursements.

ConclusionCommitment to Growth: Balancing AUM growth with profitability while remaining well-capitalized for future fundraising.

Summary from October 2023

UGRO Capital Limited Earnings Call Summary (October 31, 2023)

Earnings Call Overview • Date: October 27, 2023 • Focus: Unaudited financial results for Q2 and H1 FY24 • Key Participants: Shachindra Nath (Vice Chairman & Managing Director), other executives • Hosted by: Emkay Global Financial Services • Transcript available on the company's website

Company Vision and Growth • Aim: Become India's largest small business financing institution • Established: July 2018 • Financial Performance (H1 FY24): • Return on Assets: 2.2% • Return on Equity: 9.2% • Target: Over 30% AUM growth, cost-to-income ratio below 45%

Market Focus and Strategy • Target Market: Underserved MSMEs with a credit gap of INR 85 trillion • Loan Origination Growth: Increased from INR 642 crores (Q2 FY22) to INR 1,476 crores (Q4 FY23) • Customer Segments: • Prime branches for businesses with INR 1 crore to INR 15 crores turnover • Micro branches for smaller enterprises

Portfolio Quality and Risk Management • Collection Efficiency: 99% • Gross NPA: 1.9% • Net NPA: 1.1% • Liability Infrastructure: Co-lending partnerships with banks and NBFCs, INR 3,405 crores in off-balance sheet assets

Co-Lending and Partnerships • Co-lending Model: Offers superior spreads due to lower capital requirements • Technology Integration: Progressing well with banks, aiming for 70-80% efficiency • Partnership with SBI: Integration of technology ongoing

Financial Projections and Cost Management • Cost-to-Income Ratio: Projected at 50-52% by year-end • AUM Target: INR 10,000 crores, currently short by INR 300 crores • PAT Guidance: Expected to exceed first-half PAT of INR 55-56 crores by at least 20% in H2 FY24

Branch Expansion and Data Management • Planned Expansion: 75 new branches by year-end • Data Scrubbing: Quarterly reviews to monitor credit trends and early warning signals • GRO Score: Proprietary risk evaluation tool for customer assessment

Credit Costs and Future Outlook • Provisioning Coverage: 49% on Stage 3 assets, aiming for 65% • Co-Origination vs. Co-Lending: Co-lending offers higher ROA; shift towards more co-origination with banks • Long-term Goals: Target AUM of INR 20,000 crores by 2025, adjusted guidance to INR 17,000-18,000 crores

Conclusion • UGRO Capital is positioned for growth while maintaining a focus on profitability and credit quality, with ongoing efforts to enhance partnerships and expand its market presence.

Summary from August 2023

UGRO Capital Limited Earnings Call Summary (August 9, 2023)

Overview • Earnings call held on August 2, 2023, discussing Q2 financial results for the quarter ending June 30, 2023. • Key management members participated, including Vice Chairman Shachindra Nath.

Company Ambition • Aim to become India's largest small business financing platform. • Significant growth potential in the MSME financing sector due to a post-COVID credit gap. • Emphasis on the formalization of the economy and advancements in data collection.

Innovative Approach • Introduction of a data-driven credit assessment model to enhance turnaround times and maintain credit costs. • Advanced underwriting scoring model using data from GST, banking, and credit bureaus.

Financial Highlights • Assets under management (AUM) reached INR 6,777 crores (85% YoY growth). • Gross loan origination for the quarter was INR 2,036 crores (50% YoY growth). • Net income rose to INR 125.6 crores (82% YoY increase). • Strong asset quality with gross and net NPA ratios at 1.8% and 1%, respectively.

Strategic Goals • Targeting 30% sustainable loan growth and 50% off-book AUM by 2025. • Projecting an increase of around INR 12,000 crores in AUM over the next two years.

Customer Profile • Focus on micro and small enterprises, with over 80% of customers having turnovers between INR 50 lakhs and INR 10 crores. • Strategy includes digital underwriting based on GST and banking data.

Risk Management • Anticipated increase in gross NPAs due to loan book seasoning. • Robust risk management framework in place to address potential risks.

Governance and Operational Efficiency • Addition of a new independent board member to enhance governance. • Investment in human resources and technology to mitigate risks.

Future Outlook • AUM target of INR 20,000 crores by FY25 confirmed, with emphasis on bottom-line performance. • Continued expansion of microloan distribution planned by the end of the fiscal year.

Closing Remarks • Growing support from retail and institutional investors. • Vision to become a leading financial institution for small businesses in India while contributing positively to society.

Summary from May 2023

UGRO Capital Limited Earnings Call Summary (May 16, 2023)

Financial HighlightsAssets Under Management (AUM): Increased by 105% to over INR 6,000 crores. • Gross Disbursements: Reached INR 7,200 crores, up from INR 3,138 crores in FY22. • Total Income: Surged by 119% to INR 683 crores. • Net Income: Rose by 123% to INR 390 crores. • Profit Metrics: • Profit Before Tax: Increased fourfold to INR 83 crores. • Profit After Tax: Stood at INR 39 crores (adjusted INR 60 crores). • Profitability Ratios: • Return on Assets (ROTA): 1.1%. • Return on Equity (ROE): 4.1%. • Cost-to-Income Ratio: Decreased from 72% to 62%.

Strategic FocusMSME Financing: Shift from collateral-based to data-driven lending assessments. • GRO Score 3.0: Advanced underwriting model using GST data, bank statements, and credit history. • Customer Base: Over 63,000 customers analyzed, with 48,000 live customers.

Growth and Expansion PlansBranch Strategy: Plans to open 20-25 new branches, targeting 250 branches in 24-30 months. • Capital Raise: INR 340 crores raised through preferential issue and QIP.

Investor InsightsEquity Investment: Danish government investment aimed at attracting long-term investors. • Loan Distribution: 56% of disbursements through Direct Sales Agents (DSAs). • Capital Adequacy: Projected around 20%, with no additional equity planned for the year.

Risk ManagementNon-Performing Assets (NPAs): Expected increase in absolute terms but percentage decrease. • Loss Given Default (LGD): Nearly zero for secured loans; higher for unsecured loans.

Future ProjectionsFY24 Targets: • Disbursements: INR 6,400 crores. • AUM: INR 10,000 crores. • ROE: Targeting 10%. • Long-term AUM Goal: Over INR 20,000 crores by FY25.

Technological AdvancementsData-Driven Underwriting: Emphasis on technological edge in MSME financing. • Co-Lending Strategy: Focus on partnerships with public sector banks, with plans to include private banks.

ConclusionManagement Commitment: Focused on building a robust institution with strong governance and underwriting practices.

Summary from February 2023

UGRO Capital Limited Earnings Call Summary (February 2, 2023)

Overview • Earnings call held on January 27, 2023, discussing Q3 and nine-month results ending December 31, 2022. • Key management included Vice Chairman Shachindra Nath and executives from various departments. • Transcript available on the company's website.

Company Performance • Established as India's first listed vehicle for small business lending in 2018. • Achieved INR 5,000 crores in assets under management (AUM) and served 38,000 customers. • Emphasizes data analytics and technology in underwriting, using proprietary GRO Score.

Financial Highlights • 16% quarter-on-quarter increase in AUM; record disbursements of INR 1,874 crores in Q3. • Net total income rose to INR 108 crores; 149% increase in profit after tax (PAT). • Transitioning to a co-lending model; 35% of AUM now off-balance sheet with 65+ lender partnerships.

Market Position and Future Outlook • Capital markets have not fully recognized U GRO's potential due to lower market cap. • Aims to enhance profitability and solidify its position in small business financing. • Plans for a capital raise to support growth; targeting gross NPA of no more than 2% by 2025.

Growth Strategies • Focus on supply chain financing and diversification into micro-enterprises and machinery financing. • Improved cost-to-income ratio from 72% to 60%, with expectations for further improvement. • Open to broadening sectoral focus while currently concentrating on 8-9 sectors.

Investor Relations • Private equity investors have flexibility to exit; three of four initial investors remain on the board. • Quality of loan book remains consistent; no significant impact on GNPA and NNPA ratios post-pandemic. • Clarified tax rate issues related to Minimum Alternate Tax (MAT) and deferred tax assets.

Operational Insights • Collection efficiency is higher than banks; initial delinquencies resolve with low potential for NPAs. • Discussed First Loss Default Guarantee (FLDG) in co-origination deals and customer engagement strategies. • Branch profitability improving; 25 out of 100 branches have broken even.

Future Projections • Projected RoAs of 4.5% and RoEs of 17-18% by FY '25 with a shift towards a semi-marketplace model. • Focus on micro enterprises in Tier 2 and Tier 3 towns for geographical expansion. • Strategic reduction in lending partners to enhance quality over quantity.

Conclusion • The call concluded with an invitation for further questions to the investor relations team, emphasizing ongoing growth and risk management strategies.