Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Limited (TRIL)

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Summary from July 2024

Earnings HighlightsDate of Call: July 19, 2024 • Revenue: 103% year-on-year increase to Rs. 311 crore • EBITDA: 633% rise • Profit After Tax: 268% increase • New Orders: Secured Rs. 698 crores • Unexecuted Order Book: Totaling Rs. 2,926 crores

Strategic InitiativesNew Manufacturing Facility: For renewable energy, operational by December 2024 • Focus Areas: Power and solar transformers (95% of business)

Market InsightsReactor Market: Valued at Rs. 7,000 to Rs. 8,000 crores annually due to renewable energy demand • IDT Transformers: Plans to automate production to 100 transformers/month

Financial GuidanceSales Guidance for FY25: Rs. 2,000 crores with an EBITDA margin of 14% • Three-Year Revenue Target: Rs. 4,500 to Rs. 5,000 crores with improved margins of 16-17%

Challenges and ConcernsExecution Delays: Due to PGCIL project delays and funding availability • Raw Material Supply Constraints: Affecting demand fulfillment

Export StrategyExport Goals: 25% of order book from exports by FY26 • Enhancing Export Team: While focusing on domestic opportunities

Manufacturing and Component IntegrationBackward Integration: Into manufacturing components like tanks to improve EBITDA margins • New Plant Timeline: Operational by December 2024, machinery expected by November 2024

Market DemandIndian Railways: Increased demand for transformers due to speed enhancement initiatives • Metro Market: Significant supply of transformers for various projects

Future OutlookCurrent Order Inquiry Pipeline: Rs. 17,500 crores • Solar Sector Plans: Pursuing orders post-September • Capacity Expansion: Adding 12,000 MVA by December 2024, potentially contributing Rs. 1,000 crores in revenue

ConclusionOptimism: Company remains positive about meeting future revenue targets and addressing market demands.

Summary from April 2024

Date and SubmissionDate of Call: April 8, 2024 • Submission to BSE and NSE: April 15, 2024

Key Management ParticipantsChairman: Jitendra Mamtora • Managing Director: Satyen Mamtora

Financial HighlightsRecord Order Inflow: ₹2,050 crore • Unexecuted Order Book: Increased by 72% to ₹2,582 crore • Q4 Revenue: Increased by 18% to ₹500 crore • PAT Growth: 306% increase to ₹36 crore

Growth StrategyFocus Areas: • Capacity expansion • Increased exports • Operational excellence • Inquiry Pipeline: Over ₹17,000 crore

Order Conversion ExpectationsExpected Conversion Rate: 15% to 20% of the inquiry pipeline • Projected Order Value: Approximately ₹1,500 to ₹2,000 crore

Sector DemandStrong Demand: Particularly in renewable energy • Types of Transformers: Industrial and green hydrogen-related

Fundraising PlansTarget: ₹500 crore through QIP or PREF • Purpose: Inorganic growth and capacity expansion

Export StrategyCurrent Contribution: Expected to be 15% of inquiries • Future Target: 25% by FY26-27

Capacity ExpansionFocus: Green hydrogen and solar park transformers • Operational Date: By December 2024

Order Book and MarginsCurrent Order Book: ₹2,582 crore • Expected Margin Improvement: Through backward integration (40-50% completion)

Operational EfficienciesTransformer Cycle Time Reduction: From 55 to 40 days • Working Capital Improvements: Monthly collections exceeding ₹125-130 crore

Market OutlookCAGR Growth Projection: 14% in the Indian transformer market over the next two years • Green Energy Orders: 60-70% of orders related to green energy

Challenges and OpportunitiesSupply Challenges: In high voltage transformer industry • Railway Sector Opportunities: Increasing demand for Scott-connected transformers

Additional InquiriesOrder Book Composition: 2% to 3% currently includes transformers • Low-Margin Orders: Still part of the mix • QIP Round Completion: Expected by the end of Q1

ConclusionManagement's Sentiment: Optimistic about future performance and strategic direction.

Summary from January 2024

Earnings HighlightsDate of Call: January 22, 2024 • Revenue Growth: 13% increase to ₹365 crore • EBITDA Growth: 15% increase to ₹37 crore; EBITDA margin improved to 10% • Order Inflow: ₹701 crore for the quarter, a 69% year-over-year increase • Unexecuted Order Book: ₹2,572 crore

Management InsightsOptimism for Future Growth: Focus on domestic market, which accounts for 88% of revenue • PAT Margins: Current low levels due to high interest costs; expected improvement by year-end • Working Capital: Comfortable levels; targeting reduction in working capital days to 120 • Pending Payments: ₹90 crore received from GETCO; further payments expected

Revenue and Margin ExpectationsQ4 FY24 Target: ₹600 crore • Next Year Target: Potentially ₹2,200 crore • EBITDA Margin Goals: Aim for 18-20% by FY25

Product Development and Market PositionSingle-Phase Transformers: Development for logistical advantages in challenging terrains • Industry Credibility: Successful short circuit tests on large transformers • Focus on High Voltage Transformers: Differentiation from competitors like Shilchar Technologies

Cost Management and Future PlansEBITDA Increase: Attributed to reduced other expenses and lower raw material costs • COGS Stability: Expected to range between 67% to 76% • Capex Plans: No immediate expansions in the next 6-12 months; potential capex by end of 2024

ConclusionCall Closure: Satyen Mamtora thanked participants and encouraged further inquiries through investor relations.

Summary from November 2023

Conference Call Details • Date: November 3, 2023 • Submitted to: BSE and NSE on November 8, 2023 • Key Participants: Managing Director Satyen Mamtora, CFO Chanchal Rajora

Financial Performance HighlightsCapital Raise: Successful Rs. 120 crore capital raise • Order Book: Strong order book of Rs. 2,145 crore • Revenue Trends: • Decline in revenue due to operational challenges • Notable increase in Q2 revenue compared to Q1 • Future Outlook: Positive growth anticipated, especially in renewable energy

Key Financial ProjectionsRevenue Target: Aim for Rs. 1,400 crores in FY24, up from Rs. 1,100-1,300 crores in previous years • EBITDA Margins: Optimism about reaching margins similar to competitors despite recent declines

Operational InsightsGETCO Payments: Payments resumed in late October; significant amounts pending • Dispatch Issues: Delays due to customer inspections, affecting Rs. 40-50 crores in orders • Export Opportunities: • Exploring markets in the U.S., Europe, Africa, and the Middle East • Rs. 900 crores in orders under negotiation, Rs. 800 crores inquiry from Africa

Strategic FocusShift in Customer Base: Moving from lower-margin state utilities to higher-margin industrial and central utility customers • CAPEX Plans: Planned CAPEX of Rs. 50-60 crores for IDT and Green transformers in the next financial year

ConclusionOrder Inflow Target: Rs. 2,500 crores by the end of FY24 • Working Capital Management: Anticipated decrease in finance costs • Export Margins: More favorable working capital cycle compared to domestic orders, currently 6% of total unexecuted order book • Closing Remarks: Gratitude expressed to participants, invitation for further inquiries through investor relations.

Summary from August 2023

Financial PerformanceRevenue Decline: 48% drop in consolidated revenue from ₹297.50 Crores in Q1 FY23 to ₹153.36 Crores in Q1 FY24. • Reasons for Decline: • Inventory buildup. • Delayed dispatches due to customer inspection holdups. • Payment delays from customers, notably GETCO.

Management InsightsCurrent Orders: Company holds orders worth ₹2,149 Crores. • Future Outlook: Optimistic about growth due to increasing global demand for transformers and renewable energy opportunities. • GETCO Relationship: Management hopes for resolution with GETCO, which has issued a "Stop Deal" notice.

Q&A HighlightsRevenue Drop Explanation: Attributed to operational slowdown due to delayed payments, impacting working capital and manufacturing capacity. • Improvement in Q2 FY24: Expectations of better growth with significant inflows, including a ₹145 Crores order from the power grid. • Working Capital Issues: Approximately ₹140-150 Crores stuck in working capital; intentional hold on ₹40-50 Crores in orders to enforce payment discipline.

Order Book and MarginsOrder Execution: Expectation to execute ₹1,400-1,500 Crores from the ₹2,100 Crores order book this year. • Margin Expectations: Overall EBITDA margins expected to be in double digits, with favorable raw material prices.

Capacity and Future PlansCapacity Utilization: Currently at 60-65%. • Bridge Financing: Plans for a bridge loan of ₹100-150 Crores for working capital. • Export Plans: Current order composition is 95% domestic and 5% export, expected to shift to 15-20% export in the future.

Challenges and Customer RelationsInspection Delays: Often due to project funding issues, affecting readiness for inspections. • GETCO's Impact: Concerns about reliance on GETCO, but management reassured that it constitutes less than 5% of the current order book.

ConclusionOptimistic Outlook: Management expressed cautious optimism for recovery and exceeding last year's performance in upcoming quarters.