Supreme Petrochem Limited (SPLPETRO)

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Summary from July 2024

Supreme Petrochem Ltd Q1 FY25 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Key Financial HighlightsOperating Income: Increased by 28% year-on-year to INR 1,574 crores. • Operating EBITDA: Rose by 78% to INR 161 crores. • Net Profit After Tax: Up 76% year-on-year to INR 122 crores. • Sales Volumes: Grew by 27% to 93,323 metric tonnes. • Domestic volumes: Increased by 38%. • Export volumes: Decreased due to rising freight costs. • Debt Status: Company remains debt-free with an investible surplus of INR 1,040 crores.

Management InsightsVolume Growth Expectations: Discussed potential for future growth and seasonal demand fluctuations. • Expansion Projects: Plans for EPS and XPS expansions; Haryana plant expansion estimated revenue of INR 2,000 crores.

Production and Market FocusSMMA Production: Minor adjustments made, but focus remains on polystyrene (PS) due to market demand. • ABS Line Power Costs: Current figures unavailable; joint venture for solar power generation to meet 50% of power needs.

Supply Chain and Market DynamicsMasterbatch Sourcing: Entirely from SPC division for ABS production. • Freight Rates: Increased rates for imports leading to reduced volumes; differentiation between liquid and solid cargo rates discussed.

Future ProjectionsABS Revenue Contribution: Expected to start impacting financial results by FY 2026-27. • Polystyrene Demand: Current demand at 325,000 tonnes; company capacity at 300,000 tonnes. • Revenue Potential from New Projects: New ABS plant and Haryana extension could generate INR 3,500 to 4,000 crores by FY 2028-29.

ConclusionCurrent Capacity Utilization: Over 83%. • Trading Contribution: Approximately 20% to revenues. • Closing Remarks: Management thanked participants for their engagement.

Summary from May 2024

Supreme Petrochem Ltd Q4 and FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Key Financial HighlightsQ4 Performance: • Operating income increased by 32% QoQ to Rs. 1,563 crores. • EBITDA rose by 76% to Rs. 194 crores. • Year-on-year EBITDA and net profit after tax decreased; net profit at Rs. 132 crores, down 18%. • Sales volume surged, particularly exports, which rose by 44% in Q4.

FY24 Overview: • Total operating income at Rs. 5,253 crores; flat YoY due to lower Styrene Monomer prices. • Company remains debt-free with an investable surplus of Rs. 1,080 crores. • Recommended final dividend of Rs. 7 per share.

Future Growth Projections • Anticipated growth of 8-10% for FY25. • Ongoing expansions expected to contribute to growth in FY26. • Mass ABS project facing delays; projected operational by Q4 FY25.

Management InsightsFinancial Outlook: • Full capacity utilization could yield around Rs. 2,200 crores in revenue. • Improved margins for ABS compared to polystyrene. • Geopolitical factors create uncertainty in future predictions.

Capacity Utilization: • Current utilization at approximately 75%, potential to reach 90%. • Peak revenue could reach Rs. 6,500 crores at full capacity.

Market DynamicsABS Capacity Expansion: • Responding to growing demand in EV and appliance sectors. • Concerns about potential oversupply due to new market entrants.

Competitive Landscape: • Acknowledgment of pressure from increased ABS capacity in China. • Emphasis on customer service and quality to drive preference for domestic products.

Operational DetailsProduction Capacities: • Polystyrene: 300,000 tonnes • EPS: 110,000 tonnes • SPC: 35,000 tonnes (effective capacity of 25,000 tonnes) • XPS: 72,000 cubic meters

Employee Costs: • Increased by 16-17% due to expanded capacities and wage revisions.

Conclusion • Management expressed gratitude to participants, highlighting the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning.

Summary from January 2024

Supreme Petrochem Q3 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Key HighlightsDate of Call: January 23, 2024 • Management Team: Introduced by Mr. Anuj Sonpal; included Mr. Rakesh Nayyar (Executive Director and CFO).

Financial PerformanceOperating Income: INR 1,187 crores (0.6% YoY increase) • EBITDA: INR 110 crores • Net Profit: INR 68 crores • Sales Growth: • Quarterly: 1.7% • Nine-month period: 12% • Debt Status: Debt-free with an investable surplus of INR 793 crores.

Operational InsightsChennai EPS Plant: Experienced operational downtime due to cyclone damage. • Sales Composition: 76% from manufactured products.

Energy StrategyRenewable Energy Agreement: New partnership with Tata Power to reduce power costs starting FY25. • Nagothane Project: 50% power from renewable sources, potential savings of 30-40%.

Investment and Expansion PlansHaryana Investment: Projected revenues of ₹1,900 crores with a payback period of less than five years. • New Products: Introduction of EPS and 3D panels with estimated revenue potential of ₹100 crores. • Engineering Plastics: Plans to expand into this market, replacing glass in various applications.

Market and Volume AnalysisVolume Drop: 13% sequential drop attributed to post-festive season slowdown; year-on-year volumes consistent. • Polystyrene Spreads: Significant year-on-year decline of nearly 30%, but confidence in maintaining current spreads.

Capacity and CompetitionCapacity Utilization: Around 70% for polystyrene and EPS; plans to expand SPC capacity by 25,000 tonnes. • Market Growth: Potential for multiple players due to increasing demand projections.

North India PlantNew Plant: Aimed at capturing market share in North India; 100% styrene currently imported.

Export ChallengesFreight Costs: Rising rates impacting export prices; recent slowdown in exports due to geopolitical issues. • Volume Guidance: Maintains a growth target of 10% to 12% for the fiscal year.

Conclusion • Management expressed optimism about future growth and thanked participants for their engagement.

Summary from December 2023

Supreme Petrochem Ltd Earnings Conference Call Summary

Date and ParticipantsDate of Call: December 18, 2023 • Key Speaker: CFO Rakesh Nayyar

Company Overview • Leading manufacturer of polystyrene with over 50% market share. • Significant export capabilities. • Expanding product range with a new ABS manufacturing project in collaboration with Versalis (ENI Group). • Planned capital expenditure of ₹1,200 crores over the next two years, funded through internal accruals.

Market InsightsPolystyrene Demand: Expected to grow modestly; EPS and XPS markets may see higher growth. • Global Pricing Trends: Current pricing deltas are low compared to previous years, attributed to the global economic environment. • Typical Price Deltas: • General-purpose polystyrene: $175 to $200 • HIPS: $250 to $300

Financial Performance • Current ABS imports: 130,000 to 140,000 tons. • No specific EBITDA per ton figures provided; performance linked to global market conditions. • Approximately ₹500 crores spent on capital expenditure; plans to invest an additional ₹700 crores.

Growth Capacity • Sufficient land available for future expansions. • Robust Indian market for ABS with an estimated size of 275,000 tons.

Production Insights • Differences in production costs between mass ABS and emulsion ABS explained. • Majority of cost differences stem from power and fuel expenses.

Market Position • Only player in the extruded polystyrene market. • Total Indian polystyrene market: approximately 315,000 tons, with 70,000 to 75,000 tons imported. • Pricing linked to global prices, adjusted for local factors.

Regulatory Environment • Recommendations for anti-dumping measures on polystyrene made but not implemented. • Awareness of polystyrene bans in some countries discussed, primarily affecting disposable products.

Styrene Monomer Prices • Stable prices around $1,050, with fluctuations of about $50. • Significant price drop observed from April to June, but stability since mid-July.

Conclusion • The call concluded without further inquiries after addressing various investor questions.

Summary from November 2023

Supreme Petrochem Ltd Earnings Conference Call Summary (October 31, 2023)

Financial PerformanceQ2 and H1 FY24 Results: • Operating income increased by 3.5% to ₹1,278 crores. • EBITDA rose approximately 35% to ₹106 crores. • Net profit after tax increased by 31% to ₹78 crores. • Domestic sales volumes grew by 23% year-on-year. • The company remains debt-free with an investable surplus of ₹840 crores.

CAPEX and ProjectsOngoing Projects: • Progressing on CAPEX projects, including the Mass AB5 project.

Market DynamicsCompetition and Margins: • Concerns about potential declines in margins due to increased competition. • Emphasis on product quality and customer service to maintain price premiums. • Overall demand in India expected to grow, allowing market space for all players.

Export PerformanceExport Targets: • Target of over 50,000 tons for FY24, primarily in Europe, Africa, and Asia. • No specific breakdown of polystyrene exports provided.

Market Demand InsightsEPS and Polystyrene Demand: • EPS market growth at 12.5%. • Weaker polystyrene demand with expectations of 6-7% growth in H2 FY24.

Raw Material PricingPricing Insights: • Current styrene monomer prices discussed. • ASS project expected to be operational by the end of the next calendar year.

Trading Revenue and MarginsTrading Revenue: • Constitutes about 23% of the top line; specific profitability figures not disclosed. • Decline in EBITDA margins from 15% in Q1 to 8.3% in Q2 due to inventory hit and decrease in global debtors.

ConclusionFurther Inquiries: • Invitation for additional questions through the Investor Relations Manager.

Summary from August 2023

Supreme Petrochem Ltd Earnings Conference Call Summary (July 31, 2023)

Overview • Led by Anuj Sonpal (Valorem Advisors) with key management present. • Discussed Q1 FY24 financial performance.

Financial PerformanceMarket Leadership: Over 50% market share in polystyrene; largest exporter from India. • Q1 FY24 Results: • Operational Income: Rs. 1,225 crores • EBITDA: Rs. 91 crores (7.39% margin) • Net Profit: Rs. 69 crores (5.66% margin) • Challenges: • Significant drop in styrene monomer prices (over 22%). • Total sales volumes increased by 9% year-on-year; domestic sales down by 4%.

Strategic ProjectsMass ABS Project: Expected commissioning by Q3 FY25. • New Facilities: Recent launch of Polystyrene and EPS facility; current utilization at 75%.

Market DynamicsRaw Material Import Complexities: 45 to 60 days from purchase to sale. • Value Added Grades: 40% of volume; margins 25% to 100% higher than commodity grades. • Volume Growth Adjustment: Initial target of 15% reduced to 12% due to lower appliance sector demand.

Export and Product FocusExports: Increased to 15-20% of overall volumes; target of 50,000 tons for FY24. • SPC Product Growth: Expected 20% growth driven by new compound approvals.

Capital Expenditure and Future OutlookCAPEX: Rs. 1,250 crores for expansions in Polystyrene and EPS, completion by March 2025. • Margin Profile: Declined due to falling raw material prices; Polystyrene accounts for two-thirds of revenue.

ConclusionValue Added Grades: Aim to increase share; dependent on acceptance by appliance manufacturers. • Inventory Losses: Challenges due to fluctuating raw material prices. • Investor Relations: Invitation for further inquiries through Valorem Advisors.

Summary from April 2023

Supreme Petrochem Q4 FY23 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Overview • Date: April 27, 2023 • First earnings conference call for Supreme Petrochem Ltd. • Moderated by Anuj Sonpal from Valorem Advisors. • Key management included Executive Director and CFO Rakesh Nayyar.

Company HighlightsMarket Leadership: 60% market share in polystyrene, zero debt. • Capital Expenditure: INR 1,200 crores funded from internal resources.

Financial PerformanceQ4 FY23: • Operational income: INR 1,317 crores (7% decline YoY, 17.5% increase QoQ). • EBITDA: INR 209 crores (32% decline YoY, 76% increase QoQ). • FY23: • Operational income: INR 5,287 crores (5% increase). • Net profit: INR 498 crores (25% decline). • Capacity Utilization: Over 92% for polystyrene and expandable polystyrene.

Dividend and Future ProjectsFinal Dividend: INR 7 per share. • New Projects: Development of a mass ABS plant.

Market InsightsSeasonal Demand: Peak season for consumer durables (January to March) with a 17% sales increase. • Future Demand: Expected normalization in April to June, with gradual decline until festival season.

Growth Projections • Anticipated volume growth of 15% to 16% for FY24. • CapEx for FY24: INR 430 crores for maintenance and new production lines.

Market DynamicsChina's Production: Increased styrene production, but Indian market growth expected to align with GDP. • Mass ABS Production: Advantages include lower carbon footprint and reduced operational costs.

Margin ProfileCommodity Spreads: Declining, but company outperforms due to focus on value-added products (37-40% of revenues). • Raw Material Sourcing: No imports from China; sourced from Korea, Singapore, and the Gulf.

Capital Allocation and Export Activities • Building cash reserves for planned CapEx. • Reviving export activities targeting Africa, Europe, Gulf, and Americas.

Analyst InquiriesContribution Differentials: Value-added products yield 25-30% higher margins than commodity grades. • EPS Consumption: Low in construction compared to global standards, indicating growth potential. • Import Duties: No antidumping duties on ABS; polystyrene duties pending.

Conclusion • The call highlighted product margin complexities, growth opportunities in construction, and stable demand dynamics in the polystyrene and ABS markets.