Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL)

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Summary from May 2024

RVNL Earnings Conference Call Summary (May 17, 2024)

Financial PerformanceRevenue Growth: 7.15% increase, reaching INR 20,281 crores. • Net Profit: 17.94% rise, totaling INR 1,463 crores. • Profit After Tax (PAT): Increased 2.4 times over six years.

Project HighlightsKey Projects: Indore Metro and Maldives project significantly contributed to revenue. • Project Completion: 12 projects completed in FY23-24; 152 projects since inception. • Project Margins: New market-based projects show higher margins (Indore Metro: 10.66%, Maldives: 11%).

Future Growth and InvestmentsOrder Book: Approximately INR 85,000 crores; aiming for 5% to 7% top-line growth. • Investment Plans: Potential equity infusion of up to INR 2,200 crores; further investments depend on project viability. • High-Speed Rail Focus: Currently no orders, but future projects are a priority.

Strategic InitiativesInternational Expansion: Participation in bids across various countries. • India-Middle East Corridor: Opportunities in railway and marine infrastructure. • Solar Energy Projects: Joint venture with Jackson Green to expand market reach.

Upcoming PlansBidding Activity: Anticipating participation in over 150 bids worth more than INR 75,000 crores for FY25. • Order Inflow Target: Approximately INR 20,000 to 25,000 crores.

Summary from February 2024

Conference Call Details • Date: February 9, 2024 • Moderator: Vishal Periwal (IDBI Capital) • Key Management Personnel: • Rajesh Prasad (Director Operations) • Sanjeeb Kumar (Director Finance and CFO) • Kalpana Dubey (Company Secretary)

Company Achievements • Over 16,000 route kilometers of railway infrastructure commissioned. • Total expenditure of INR 1.5 lakh crores. • Maintained a AAA rating from CARE for 12 years. • Operates debt-free.

Financial Performance • Turnover growth: INR 2,492 crores (FY2013-14) to INR 20,300 crores (FY2022-23). • PAT growth: INR 157 crores to INR 1,268 crores in the same period. • Current order book: Approximately INR 65,000 crores.

Strategic Focus • Transitioning from contract manager to contractor role. • Expanding infrastructure capabilities beyond railways to metro projects and international ventures. • Current focus on projects in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Africa.

Vande Bharat Project • Progressing as planned; first prototype expected in 24 months. • Maintenance and Manufacturing Agreement (MCMA) signed; mock-up production initiated.

International Projects • Discussed $10 billion Trans Kalahari project and $4 billion Kyrgyzstan project. • Ongoing evaluations for project execution and capital deployment strategies.

Financing and Partnerships • MOU with Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) for project financing of up to INR 35,000 crores. • Joint venture with Jackson Green for solar projects in Uzbekistan and Saudi Arabia.

Financial Goals • Targeting a top line of INR 20,000 to INR 22,000 crores. • Order book goal of INR 75,000 crores, requiring annual order inflows of INR 25,000 crores.

Project Margins and Revenue Projections • Current project margins: 5.5% to 6%, with a quarter margin of approximately 5.6%. • Aiming for FY'24 turnover of INR 21,000-22,000 crores. • Anticipating bottom line growth to around INR 1,300 crores.

Future Outlook • Optimistic about future growth and adapting to market challenges. • Bidding success rate of approximately 24-25%. • Expecting continued growth in revenue and order book over the next two to three years.

Summary from January 2024

Summary of RVNL Investor Conference Call Notice

Date of Notice: January 12, 2024 • Event: Transcript of investor conference call • Date of Call: January 8, 2024 • Availability: Transcript accessible on RVNL's website • Regulatory Compliance: Adheres to SEBI (LODR) Regulations, 2015 • Signatory: Kalpana Dubey, Company Secretary & Compliance Officer • Request: Information to be recorded

Summary from November 2023

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited Q2 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Overview • Date of Call: November 10, 2023 • Hosted by: IDBI Capital • Key Management: CMD Pradeep Gaur, Directors Rajesh Prasad, Sanjeeb Kumar • Focus: Transition from railway infrastructure to broader infrastructure projects

Financial Performance • Turnover increase: 8% • Profit after tax rise: 21% for H1 FY24 • Current order backlog: ₹67,000-70,000 crores • Target order backlog: ₹1,00,000 crores

Key Projects • Highlighted Projects: • Karnaprayag-Rishikesh project • Various metro initiatives • Participation in bids for Eastern Dedicated Freight Corridor: ₹2,000 crores

Strategic Focus • Shift in project portfolio: • 30-35% from railways • 65-70% from other sectors • Challenges in securing railway projects due to zonal dominance

International Ventures • Kyrgyzstan project: Optimistic despite delays • Focus on international markets: Africa, Middle East, and Vietnam

Bid Pipeline and Future Opportunities • Strike rate for bids: 35-40% • Current order book: ₹70,000 crores (primarily domestic) • Government plans for railway infrastructure expansion by 2030 • Potential involvement in the India-Middle East-Europe Corridor project

Financial Targets • Expected bottom line growth: ~15% for FY24 • Top line projection: Over ₹21,000 crores • Revenue sources: Indore Metro and Maldives projects

Joint Ventures and Special Purpose Vehicles • Investment in JVs: Approximately ₹1,100 crores • Focus on railway projects and rolling stock manufacturing • Vande Bharat project: Tender for 120 train sets with a roadmap for prototypes

Conclusion • Emphasis on opportunities in rolling stock manufacturing and ongoing investments in infrastructure • Call concluded with Diwali wishes.

Summary from August 2023

Key Financial PerformanceTurnover: ₹5,446 crores (17% increase YoY) • Profit After Tax: ₹334 crores (17.8% increase) • Offer for Sale (OFS): Raised ₹1,365 crores, increasing public shareholding to 27.16% • Current Order Book: Over ₹65,000 crores

Project HighlightsIndore Metro Project: Expected turnover of ₹500 crores for FY2023-2024, completion by June 2024 • Maldives Project: Projecting similar revenue as Indore Metro • Future Order Book Goal: Maintain between ₹75,000 to ₹100,000 crores

Income and Financial OutlookOther Income: Primarily from interest and dividends, estimated ₹255 crores in interest income from KRCL • Railway Tendering: Participation in 44 bids worth ₹19,000 crores in FY2023-2024

Strategic InitiativesProject Participation: 34 tenders secured ₹3,373 crores in projects • Sourcing Raw Materials: No components from Russia; developing local vendor relationships • Kyrgyzstan Order: Progress on Detailed Project Reports (DPRs) and financing arrangements

International and Domestic FocusInternational Orders: Over ₹1,500 crores received, primarily from the Maldives • Cautious Approach: Prioritizing safe funding sources like ADB and World Bank for foreign projects

Future ProspectsBidding Capacity: Confidence in executing a recently announced ₹32,500 crores rail order • Profitability from SPVs: Temporary dip in dividends due to infrastructure investments, with anticipated future benefits from increased traffic and reduced operational costs

Summary from June 2023

Key AchievementsGraduation to Navratna Status: RVNL achieved Navratna status and a AAA credit rating. • Record Financial Figures: • Turnover: INR 20,282 crores • Profit After Tax: INR 1,268 crores • Growth: 4.65% (turnover), 16.61% (profit) • Infrastructure Development: • Commissioned over 1,000 kilometers of railway infrastructure. • Contributed to over 30% of India's railway projects.

Order Book and Future OutlookCurrent Order Book: INR 56,000 crores, with INR 20,000 crores from recent bids. • Revenue Expectations: FY '24 may be a consolidation year, with growth anticipated from FY '25 onwards. • Profit Margins: Emphasis on maintaining margins despite competitive bidding.

Expansion and AdaptabilitySector Diversification: Transitioning from railway projects to non-railway sectors. • International Projects: Significant order from Kyrgyzstan valued at INR 18,000 crores.

Special Purpose Vehicles (SPVs) PerformanceFinancial Improvements: • BDRCL: PAT increased by 61.3% to INR 46.89 crores. • Kutch Rail Company: PAT increased by 70% to INR 232 crores. • Krishnapatnam: Turnaround from a loss of INR 115 crores to a profit of INR 28.5 crores. • Efficiency and Dividends: SPVs are becoming more efficient and paying dividends.

Project Management and Future PlansExpertise in Infrastructure: Capability in handling complex projects like roads and tunnels. • Capital Expenditures: Plans to procure specialized equipment for metro projects.

Bidding and MarginsBidding Strategy: Initial projects yielding better margins than Ministry of Railways contracts. • Price Escalation Clauses: Vary by project and client; risks assessed during bidding.

Revenue ProjectionsFY '23-'24 Outlook: Projected revenues to exceed INR 20,000 crores, potentially reaching INR 22,000-23,000 crores. • Gross Margins: Current gross margins at 5.77%, with efforts to maintain or improve.

Investor EngagementComprehensive Presentation: Management agreed to provide a detailed investor presentation for tracking financials and order inflows.

Summary from February 2023

Key HighlightsDate of Call: February 17, 2023 • Management Present: Chairman Pradeep Gaur, Director of Operations Rajesh Prasad • 20th Anniversary: Celebrating significant contributions to railway infrastructure.

Financial PerformanceQ3 Turnover: Over ₹14,560 crores, a 12.5% increase from the previous fiscal year. • Share Price Growth: Increased by over 125% in the past ten months. • Order Book Projection: Expected to be between ₹55,000 to ₹60,000 crores by March 31, 2023, with 80% from nomination-based projects.

Order Book and BiddingOutstanding Order Book: Approximately ₹52,000 crores for FY '23. • Bid Success Rate: 24-25% on bids submitted, totaling around ₹70,000 crores in 15-17 months. • International Projects: Updates on Kyrgyzstan and Maldives projects, with significant investments.

Growth and Future OutlookRevenue Guidance for FY '23-'24: Targeting around ₹21,000 crores, up from ₹20,500 crores for FY '22-'23. • Focus on CAPEX: Participation in government infrastructure projects beyond railways, including metro and road sectors.

Joint Ventures and ArbitrationKrishnapatnam Railway Company: Ongoing arbitration regarding trade receivables of approximately ₹800 crores. • Performance of Joint Ventures: Optimism about increased traffic and reduced operational costs.

Margins and Tendering ProcessCurrent Margins: Around 5.6% to 5.8%, with efforts to improve through better procurement and engineering practices. • Tendering Model Shift: Moving from nomination-based contracts to competitive bidding, with unique provisions for each tender.

ConclusionPositive Outlook: RVNL's flexibility and growth potential highlighted, with a significant increase in share price compared to market indices.