Lemon Tree Hotels Limited (LEMONTREE)

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Summary from August 2024

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited Conference Call Summary

Conference Call DetailsDate: August 8, 2024 • Disclosure: Transcript released on August 14, 2024 • Participants: • Patanjali Keswani (Chairman and Managing Director) • Kapil Sharma (CFO) • Jyoti Verma (Group Company Secretary) • Compliance: SEBI regulations followed; forward-looking statements noted.

Financial Highlights (Q1 FY25)Revenue: Rs. 268.4 crore (19% YoY increase) • EBITDA: Grew 8% YoY; net EBITDA margin fell by 4.56% • Average Room Rate (ARR): Increased by 9% to Rs. 5,686 • Occupancy Rate: Decreased to 66.6% • Renovations: 25% of Keys portfolio under refurbishment • Management Fees: Increased by 22%; three new contracts signed (adding 187 rooms)

Strategic FocusInvestments: Emphasis on renovations and digital transformation for long-term growth. • Growth Target: Aim for ROCE exceeding 20% in the coming year.

Analyst Q&A HighlightsRevPAR Growth: Anticipated double-digit growth in FY25 and FY26 post-renovations. • Aurika Mumbai Performance: • Q1 FY25 occupancy: 45.9%, ARR just under Rs. 9,000. • Stabilization expected by Q4 FY25. • Food and Beverage Costs: Expected to align with historical averages; MICE activities anticipated to increase. • Occupancy Decline: Attributed to renovations in Hyderabad and Bangalore; strategic for long-term gains.

Renovation InsightsRenovation Costs: Current efforts involve about 6% of revenue; routine renovations typically cost 1.5%-1.8%. • Completion Timeline: Most renovations expected to be completed by end of FY26. • Revenue Projections: Anticipated revenue growth over Rs. 1,250 crore for FY25.

Market Trends and Future OutlookIndustry Cycles: Noted consistent 10% annual demand growth vs. 6% supply growth. • Household Growth: Projected increase from 6 million to 30 million households able to afford branded hotels in 5-6 years. • Growth Guidance: Target of 20,000 rooms by 2027 (30% owned, 70% managed). • Debt Strategy: Focus on debt reduction; company is cash positive, no rights issue needed.

Summary from June 2024

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited Earnings Conference Call Summary

Date and ContextDate of Call: June 3, 2024 • Disclosure Date: June 7, 2024 • Focus: Q4 and FY24 financial results

Key Financial HighlightsQ4 Performance: • Gross ARR: Rs. 6,605 • Total Revenue: Rs. 331.2 crore (30% YoY increase) • Net EBITDA Margin: 52.9% • Full Year Performance: • Revenue: Rs. 1,076.8 crore (23% increase YoY) • Cash Profit: 24% YoY growth • Operational Growth: • 12 new management contracts signed • 4 hotels operationalized, totaling over 10,000 rooms

Industry InsightsPricing Dynamics: • Significant price hikes in FY23; further increases expected (5% to 12%) • Structural shift in consumer demand in India, similar to China and Indonesia • Luxury segments outperforming mid-market segments

Specific Hotel PerformanceAurika Mumbai: • Occupancy Rate: 66% • ARR: Rs. 9,000 • Future Projections: • Minimum EBITDA target of Rs. 60 crore annually by next October • Expected 15% annual revenue increase over the next three years

Debt and Financial StrategyDebt Management: • Anticipation of reducing debt, aiming for net debt zero within four years • Recent Rs. 140 crore debt increase explained as credit lines and pre-opening expenses

Market Conditions and ChallengesOccupancy Rates: • Decline in city-specific occupancy rates attributed to tech sector hiring slowdowns • Price Sensitivity: • Guests at lower-tier hotels (Keys) are more price-sensitive than those at higher-end hotels (Aurika)

Renovation ImpactRenovation Effects: • Ongoing renovations may temporarily affect occupancy and EBITDA • Gradual price increases expected post-renovation

Airport DynamicsAirport Capacity Growth: • Growth in airport capacity in Delhi and renovations at Mumbai airport will sustain demand

Promoter Holdings and Growth ConcernsPromoter Holdings: • Decrease attributed to debt repayment; trend of decreasing holdings has mostly stopped • Sales Growth: • Aiming for a minimum growth of 15% annually despite concerns over operating profit percentage decline

ConclusionEngagement: Encouragement for further engagement with the Investor Relations team.

Summary from February 2024

Lemon Tree Hotels Q3 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Company PerformanceRecord Revenue: Total revenue reached Rs. 291 crore, a 24% year-over-year increase. • Occupancy Rates: Declined, resulting in a net EBITDA margin decrease to 48.8%. • Cost Increases: Higher payroll and renovation expenses, particularly for the new Aurika hotel in Mumbai.

Expansion and ContractsNew Contracts: Signed nine new management contracts and operationalized six hotels, expanding to 100 hotels with 9,687 rooms. • Market Challenges: Noted difficulties in Bangalore and Pune due to IT sector slowdown.

Aurika Hotel InsightsOccupancy Expectations: Aurika's occupancy below 40% in Q3, expected to exceed 60% in Q4. • Financial Impact: Significant effects on P&L due to depreciation and interest costs. • Stabilization Timeline: Aurika's performance should be excluded from overall assessments until stabilization, anticipated next year.

Renovation and Growth StrategyARR Growth Potential: Positive outlook if Aurika performs well; ongoing renovations to enhance pricing and occupancy. • Investment Plans: Rs. 100 crore planned for renovations in FY25, focusing on the Keys portfolio.

Debt ManagementDebt Reduction Strategy: Projected decrease in debt-to-EBITDA ratios; aim to be debt-free in four years. • Current Debt Levels: Expected peak at Rs. 1,900-1,950 crore due to Aurika construction.

Market DynamicsSupply and Demand: National supply growth of about 5% annually; varying demand across markets. • Pricing Strategy: Increased corporate rates while making retail prices competitive.

Future OutlookOccupancy Projections: Anticipated increase to 70% by FY26, with mid-teens RevPAR growth. • Tourism Demand: Focus on expanding hotel network in key tourism areas and enhancing loyalty programs.

Additional InsightsFinance Costs: Increased to Rs. 53 crore, primarily due to construction-related debt. • Sustainability Commitment: 10% reduction in energy consumption per room since FY19, with plans for further improvements.

ConclusionInvestor Engagement: Encouraged ongoing communication with investors regarding external factors that could positively impact revenue.

Summary from November 2023

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited Earnings Conference Call Summary

Key Financial HighlightsQ2 FY24 Performance: • Record gross ARR: INR 5,268 (7.1% YoY increase) • Significant occupancy rise contributing to 15.9% YoY RevPAR increase • PAT growth: 26.3% YoY • Decrease in net EBITDA margin due to higher renovation and pre-operative expenses • 11 new management contracts signed, expanding pipeline

Market Demand and Consumer BehaviorDemand Insights: • Overall GDP growth driving discretionary spending in the hotel sector • Correlation between airline traffic and hotel demand • Projected airline capacity to outpace hotel room supply, favorable for the industry

Operational StrategiesWebsite and Loyalty Program Revamp: • Increase in direct bookings from 2% to 7% • Aurika Hotel Performance: • Expected to be EBITDA positive with improving occupancy and ARR • Margin Outlook: • Recent margin hits attributed to renovation and pre-opening costs • Investments in renovations aimed at enhancing future pricing power

Renovation and Capital Expenditure PlansRenovation Costs: • Costs vary by market; significant investments planned for brand maintenance • CAPEX Outlook: • Planned spending: 50 crores this year, 100 crores over the next two years • No new hotel constructions except for Shimla project (20-25 crores remaining)

Revenue Management and Pricing StrategiesBCG Project Investment: • Aimed at enhancing revenue management and cost control • Pricing Dynamics: • Airlines shifting to more affordable hotel options, presenting opportunities • Strategy to align corporate and retail pricing to eliminate anomalies

Employee Costs and Competitive PositioningEmployee Cost Increase: • INR 4 crore increase due to higher wages, bonuses, and hiring • ARR Growth Strategy: • Focus on increasing occupancy by adjusting prices, attracting price-sensitive customers

Future Acquisitions and Portfolio ManagementCapital Allocation Policy: • Aiming to reduce debt and improve financial ratios • Keys Hotel Portfolio Performance: • Categorized into "juicy" and "non-juicy" segments with ongoing renovations • Projected return of INR 100 crore EBITDA within 12-18 months

Industry OutlookMid-Cycle Recovery: • Anticipated recovery driven by increased foreign demand and corporate travel • Plans to re-price aggressively once occupancy stabilizes at 75% • Expansion Strategy: • Focus on managed and franchised properties for quicker revenue generation • Interest in co-living initiatives while enhancing existing hotel operations

Summary from August 2023

Lemon Tree Hotels Q1 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Key HighlightsBest Performance Metrics: • Gross ARR: INR 5,237 (up 8.6% YoY) • RevPAR: INR 3,678 (up 17.2% YoY) • Total Revenue: INR 224.6 crores (up 16.8% YoY) • PAT: INR 27.5 crores (up 103% YoY) • Net EBITDA Margin: 47.6%

New Contracts: • Six new management contracts signed, adding 548 rooms to the pipeline.

Strategic FocusShift to Retail: • Management aims to increase retail business to 66% of total demand in four years. • Decrease in corporate room nights noted, with growth in other segments.

Market Conditions: • Pricing power influenced by market conditions; conservative pricing strategy for Aurika Mumbai.

Performance InsightsOccupancy Trends: • Lemon Tree Premier Mumbai occupancy increased from 50-60% to 90%. • Aurika Mumbai expected to follow a similar growth trajectory.

Revenue Model: • 75% of revenue from room sales; shift anticipated to 68%-32% for Aurika due to convention facilities.

Financial ProjectionsManagement Fees: • Projected increase from INR 36 crores to INR 130-150 crores in three years.

EBITDA Expectations: • Conservative EBITDA projection for Aurika Mumbai at INR 170 crores.

Operational ChallengesCost Increases: • Rising fixed costs attributed to business development and staff salary normalization. • Power costs rising due to erratic supply; focus on renewable energy.

Future OutlookGrowth Confidence: • Optimism for continued growth in occupancy and ARR, targeting over 15% ARR growth in three years.

Digital Transformation: • Significant impact expected from digital sales process improvements.

Capital ExpenditureAurika Hotel Opening: • Set to open in October; expected to generate sufficient cash flow for debt management.

Debt Levels: • Fleur's debt around INR 1,400 - 1,450 crores; options for future include listing or attracting investment.

Industry TrendsPricing Adjustments: • Positive pricing trends anticipated starting Q3, with a potential 15% annualized increase.

Supply-Demand Dynamics: • Forecasting a "golden period" for hotel companies as demand growth outpaces supply growth over the next 4-5 years.

Conclusion • Management expressed gratitude to participants and encouraged further engagement with the Investor Relations team.

Summary from June 2023

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited Earnings Conference Call Summary

Financial PerformanceRecord Year: Total revenue increased by 111% to INR 879 crores. • EBITDA Margin: Maintained at 51.9%. • Best Quarter: Q4 FY23 marked significant growth in occupancy and RevPAR.

Growth StrategyNew Contracts: Signed nine new management and franchise contracts, adding 538 rooms. • Focus Areas: Improving occupancy and average room rates (ARR), with investments in renovations, especially for the Keys portfolio. • Expansion Roadmap: Targeting over 20,000 rooms and 300 hotels in five years.

Capital ExpendituresRenovation Costs: Classified as operating expenses, with FY24 capex around INR 10-11 crores. • Aurika Project: Increased capital deployment with INR 300 crores remaining for opening.

EBITDA ProjectionsShort-term Impact: Renovation expenses expected to lower margins in H1 FY24, with improvements anticipated in H2. • Debt Reduction: Projected to be debt-free by FY26 or FY28, with significant reductions starting next year.

Renovation PlansKeys Hotels: 60% in high-demand locations, investing INR 5 lakhs per room. • Three-Year Plan: Renovation of approximately 3,500 rooms, with 1,000 rooms in H1 FY24.

Market DynamicsCurrent State: Hotel industry in mid-cycle phase with occupancy rates around 66-67%. • Future Potential: Room rates could double in 2-2.5 years, with a 30% increase over the past year.

Investor EngagementOngoing Communication: Encouraged continued engagement with the investor relations team for updates and insights.

Summary from February 2023

Lemon Tree Hotels Limited Q3 & 9M FY23 Earnings Call Summary

Financial Performance HighlightsRevenue Growth: 19% increase to INR 234.1 crore compared to Q2 FY23. • Net EBITDA Margin: 54.3%. • Profit After Tax (PAT): INR 48.6 crore, a 151% increase over Q2 FY23. • Occupancy Rates: Strong performance with expectations of over 75% occupancy in Q4.

Strategic FocusExpansion Plans: New hotel openings and renovations, including Aurika, MIAL hotel by October 2023. • Cost Optimization: Emphasis on cash generation to support ongoing projects. • Market Segment Shifts: Increase in retail bookings compared to corporate.

Average Room Rates (ARR) and Occupancy StrategyARR Increase: 24% rise compared to pre-COVID levels; corporate rates up by 25%. • Occupancy Goals: Targeting over 75% occupancy in Q4. • Hotel Mix: Balanced approach with owned and managed hotels, aiming for 111 hotels and 11,500 rooms by FY25.

Pricing Strategy and Market DynamicsAggressive Pricing: Prices increased by 20-30% over three years; further hikes anticipated due to strong demand. • Market Conditions: High construction costs limiting new developments, sustaining demand-supply imbalance. • Profitability Outlook: Surpassed 50% net EBITDA margin with continued growth expected.

Renovations and Asset ManagementKeys Hotels Acquisition: Ongoing renovations to improve quality and pricing. • Renovation Budget: INR 50 crore planned for this year, up from previous years. • EBITDA Margin Influences: Renovation expenses treated as operating costs.

Future ProjectionsRevenue Growth: Anticipated 20% growth for FY24 with higher net EBITDA margins. • Market Confidence: Strong demand in the Indian market allows for price increases without declining occupancy. • Management Fees: Projected to reach INR 35-36 crore this year, aiming for INR 100 crore in two years.

Leisure Portfolio and Market PositionLimited Leisure Offerings: Few properties in Goa, Alleppey, and Bandhavgarh. • Strong Demand: Despite competition, hotel demand remains robust. • Expansion Goals: Aim to expand to 100 cities and 25,000 rooms in four years.

ConclusionMarket Position: Third-largest owner of hotel rooms in India, sixth-largest in total managed and owned rooms. • IPO Valuations: Potential impact on market value discussed.