* Summaries created by AI. Please verify by checking the actual call transcript.
Conference Call Details • Date: May 21, 2024 • Participants: • A.S. Mehta (President and Director) • K.R. Veerappan (CFO) • Archana Gude (Moderator, IDBI Capital Markets)
Financial Performance • Q4 FY2024 Results: • Challenges: Significant drop in prices for Packaging Board and paper products; rising wood costs (30-35% increase). • EBITDA Margin: 26%-27%, above industry average. • Outlook: Tougher year anticipated due to increased competition and potential dumping from ASEAN countries.
Key Discussion Points • Acquisitions: • Rs. 800 crores spent on acquiring three companies. • Expected ROI: 14%-15%, above cost of capital (9-10%). • Importance of customer acquisition in the corrugation industry.
• Import Concerns: • High import intensity from Indonesia due to surplus capacity. • Rising pulp prices may reduce imports; irrational pricing complicates the situation.
• Balance Sheet and Future Plans: • Comfortable debt position; plans for packaging sector expansion. • New mechanical pulp mill expected to reduce input costs and stabilize supply.
Market Dynamics • Global Demand and Pricing: • Complex situation influenced by global pricing dynamics, especially from Indonesia and China. • Sluggish demand in Western markets may lead to increased dumping in India.
• Sustainability of Margins: • Rising raw material costs and lower net selling prices (NSR) raise concerns. • Potential stabilization of raw material costs; margins dependent on global pulp prices.
Growth and Capacity • Growth Trajectory: • Confidence in achieving double-digit growth despite industry trends. • Current capacity utilization in the corrugated segment at 55%-60%.
• Pulp Sourcing: • Fully integrated for chemical pulp; plans to meet 70% of mechanical pulp needs in-house by FY 2025-26.
Industry Challenges • Impact of Imports: • Dumping practices disadvantage Indian players; government intervention needed. • Smaller mills may close due to inefficiencies, not just import pressures.
• Pricing Power: • Limited pricing power in the fragmented corrugated box market; compliance with regulations may provide leverage.
Future Outlook • Cost Savings: • In-house pulp production expected to reduce raw material costs.
• Shareholder Returns: • Free cash flow of approximately Rs. 500 crores; excess cash reserved for future projects or acquisitions. • Openness to strategic acquisitions; commitment to operational efficiency and maintaining a return on equity above 20%.
Conclusion • The call concluded with appreciation for participants and reaffirmation of the company's strategic focus and operational goals.
Conference Call Overview • Date: May 19, 2023 • Transcript submitted on: May 24, 2023 • Key Management: A.S. Mehta (President), K.R. Veerappan (CFO) • Focus: Q4 FY2023 financial results
Financial Highlights • Record capacity utilization: 103.9% • Turnover increase: From INR 4,244 crores to INR 6,772 crores • PAT: INR 1,208 crores (more than double from previous year) • Successful acquisitions in corrugated packaging sector • Plantation efforts: Over 110 crores saplings planted
Q4 Performance Insights • Corrugated packaging revenue: INR 190 crores, EBITDA: INR 18 crores • Projected future contributions from corrugated business: INR 1,000 to 1,100 crores turnover, INR 100 to 120 crores EBITDA • Consolidated revenue forecast: INR 7,000 to 7,500 crores • Anticipated margin decline due to price volatility
Operational Efficiency • Packaging and Sirpur units operating at 90% capacity • Ongoing volatility in pulp prices affecting pricing strategies • Scheduled debt repayment: INR 500 to 540 crores for 2024
Cost Management and Market Dynamics • Rising wood procurement costs due to construction demand • Finance costs increase attributed to currency fluctuations • Cash reserve target: INR 1,500 crores for future investments
Strategic Plans and Market Position • Focus on maximizing new packaging board capacity for profitability • Cautious capital allocation approach • Commitment to the paper industry while exploring related opportunities • Growth potential in the corrugation business noted
Customer and Production Insights • Added approximately 20,000 customers, current utilization at 60% • Q4 volume drop to 191 KT, but overall growth expected • Discussion on imported pulp versus local wood production
Pricing Dynamics • Indian paper prices currently lower than international prices • Pulp price stabilization expected around $600 in the long run • Margins projected to remain between 20-25%
Shareholder Considerations • Discussion on dividends versus buybacks based on investor preferences • Confirmation of corrugated plant acquisition with a capacity of 260,000 tons
Conclusion • Management expressed confidence in navigating upcoming volatility while leveraging company strengths.