Heranba Industries Limited (HERANBA)

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Summary from February 2023

Company PerformanceChallenging Conditions: Management discussed performance amid geopolitical issues and rising inflation. • Revenue Figures: • 9M FY '23: INR 10,655 million • Q3 FY '23: INR 2,802 million (down from INR 3,954 million previous year) • EBITDA Margins: Affected by high raw material and energy costs.

Capital ExpenditurePlans: Total capex for FY '23 revised to INR 110-120 million (down from INR 150 million). • Sales Ratio: Domestic to export sales shifted to 49:51 in Q3 FY '23.

Future OutlookGrowth Prospects: Management optimistic about future growth, focusing on product diversification and distribution enhancement. • China Market: • Orders from China are increasing, but pricing pressures persist. • Anticipated recovery in demand post-Chinese New Year.

Capacity and Product DevelopmentCapacity Utilization: • Technical plants: 85-90% • Formulations: 55-60% • Product Pipeline: 10-12 products under evaluation, potential revenue of 1x to 1.5x investment in the first year.

Revenue Guidance and Market ConditionsRevenue Projections: Aiming to match last year's turnover, targeting INR 1,850 crores next year. • Domestic Technical Revenue: Significant year-over-year drop due to price and volume declines.

Analyst InquiriesRevenue Expectations: Aiming to match last year's revenue with stronger Q4 performance anticipated. • Margin Concerns: Declining margins attributed to increased raw material and energy costs (20-30%). • Geographical Sales: Asia Pacific leads in exports, followed by Africa and the Middle East.

Tax Rate and R&DEffective Tax Rate: Expected to stabilize around 24-25% due to depreciation benefits. • R&D Expenses: Currently around 1% of revenues, may increase to 1-2% in the future.

Additional NotesBiopesticides: Still in planning stage; minimal exposure to glyphosate. • Product Updates: Ongoing work on cypermethrin and beta-cypermethrin products.

Conclusion • Management expressed gratitude to participants and maintained a conservative yet hopeful outlook for demand and revenue growth in the upcoming fiscal year.

Summary from February 2023

Financial PerformanceRevenue: INR 10,655 million for 9M FY '23; Q3 revenue at INR 2,802 million (down from INR 3,954 million YoY). • Profit After Tax (PAT): INR 144 million in Q3, compared to INR 535 million previous year. • EBITDA Margins: Squeezed due to rising raw material and energy costs.

Market ChallengesDemand: Lower domestic demand and export volatility due to global macroeconomic conditions. • Seasonal Focus: Q3 faced challenges with low demand, particularly for herbicides; Q4 expected to see increased demand for insecticides and fungicides.

Growth and Expansion PlansCapital Expenditure: Progressing with plans, particularly for the Sarigam facility, expected to reach 70% capacity by September 2023. • Revenue Growth Target: Aiming for 18% to 20% growth in FY '24, with expectations of pent-up demand from China. • Product Pipeline: Approximately 10-12 products in development, with 30 new registrations secured in the quarter.

Operational InsightsCapacity Utilization: 85-90% for technical plants, 55-60% for formulations. • Revenue Split: 70-75% from insecticides, 20% from fungicides, 5% from herbicides.

Sales PerformanceTurnover Decline: December noted as the worst month; 5-7% decline in turnover for October and November. • Market Conditions: Previous growth guidance of 15-17% not met due to unpredictable market conditions and excess inventory.

U.S. Market ExpansionRevenue Target: Aiming for $25 million in revenue from the U.S. by FY '25, currently at INR 25 crores. • Product Registrations: Two registered products in the U.S., with plans to expand to six or seven.

Regulatory ConcernsProduct Bans: Reassurance that deltamethrin is unlikely to be banned; minimal revenue impact from acephate and glyphosate.

ConclusionManagement Outlook: Optimistic about long-term growth through new product offerings and geographical expansion despite current challenges.