Gokaldas Exports Limited (GOKEX)

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Summary from June 2024

Gokaldas Exports Limited Q4 FY'24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Key Management and Financial PerformanceDate of Call: May 28, 2024 • Management Present: • Mr. Sivaramakrishnan Ganapathi (Vice Chairman and Managing Director) • Mr. A. Sathyamurthy (CFO) • Financial Highlights: • FY'24 consolidated revenue: INR 2,409 crores (7.2% increase) • Q4 revenue: INR 818 crores (up from INR 530 crores last year) • Q4 revenue growth (excluding acquisitions): 13.9% • EBITDA margin for FY'24: 11.8%

Challenges and AcquisitionsChallenges: • Inventory overstock in retail sector • Temporary production losses due to acquisition transitions • Acquisitions: • Completed acquisitions of Atraco and Matrix for INR 934 crores • Raised INR 600 crores in equity capital • Achieved net cash positive position

Future Expectations and Capacity UtilizationAtraco and Matrix Projections: • Atraco: EBITDA margin of 10-10.5% • Matrix: EBITDA margin around 11% • Current capacity utilization: 80-85%, expected to reach near 100% by H2 FY'25 • Revenue Targets for FY'25: • Atraco: Aim to match or exceed USD 90 million • Matrix: Target INR 450-500 crores • Overall growth expectation: 15% year-on-year

Demand Environment and Pricing RealizationsDemand Recovery: • Anticipated improvement in demand leading to better pricing realizations • Full pricing power expected to return in 3-4 quarters • Impact of Previous Year: • 20% drop in demand affected margins significantly

Employee Costs and IntegrationEmployee Costs: • 5% increase due to wage hikes • Plans to mitigate through productivity improvements • Integration Progress: • Ongoing integration of Atraco and Matrix expected to enhance efficiencies

Working Capital and Market DynamicsWorking Capital Insights: • Increase in debtors and inventory noted • Gex: 70-day cycle, Gokaldas: 61-day inventory, Atraco: 91-day inventory • Market Dynamics: • Shift in sourcing strategies ("China plus 1") gaining momentum • Positive outlook for increased demand from India

Capital Expenditure and Future GrowthCapex Plans for FY'25: • Total of INR 100 crores allocated for new unit in Bhopal and efficiency improvements • Growth Drivers: • Focus on operational efficiency and margin improvement • Anticipated modest growth in sourcing (around 10%)

Conclusion • Management expresses confidence in future growth for the garment industry, emphasizing operational efficiency and demand recovery as key factors for revenue growth.

Summary from February 2024

Gokaldas Exports Limited Q3 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Key Management and OverviewDate of Call: February 2, 2024 • Participants: Mr. Sivaramakrishnan Ganapathi (Vice Chairman & MD), Mr. Sathyamurthy (CFO) • Revenue Growth: 6% year-on-year; 10% sequential increase • EBITDA Margin: 12.6% • Cash from Operations: INR 141 crores

Future Growth ProspectsNew Unit: Upcoming profitability from Madhya Pradesh unit • Acquisition: Integration of Atraco (acquired January 2024) • Strategic Acquisition: Pursuing Matrix Clothing to enhance market position

Matrix Acquisition DetailsPurchase Value: INR 334 crores; expected goodwill of INR 332 crores • Promoter Exit: Personal reasons; transition support for one year • Client Base: Complementary with minimal overlap

Market and Competition InsightsDemand Scenario: High inventory management by some customers; positive outlook for revenue growth • Pricing Pressures: Ongoing due to demand-supply mismatch • Competition: Bangladesh's rising labor costs reducing its competitive edge

Financial Strategy and ConcernsEquity Dilution: INR 6 billion planned for future growth; management reassured on cash flow and debt levels • Acquisition Management: Well-managed and profitable acquired companies; integration plans in place

Capacity Expansion and Growth PotentialAtraco and Matrix: Significant capacity for expansion; new factories planned in Jharkhand • EBITDA Margins: Current challenges acknowledged; potential for improvement with capacity and pricing adjustments

Strategic Rationale for AcquisitionsMatrix Acquisition: Access to new product categories and geographies; enhances competitive position in Europe • Future Expansion: Potential entry into Bangladesh under consideration; focus on India for now

Financial Metrics and ESOP CostsESOP Expense: Projected at INR 24 crores for FY'25 • Matrix Revenue: Unaudited revenue at approximately INR 390 crores

Operational ChallengesOther Expenses: Increase due to provisions for doubtful debts, electricity charges, and legal expenses • Wage Inflation: Karnataka's 9% wage increase impacting employee expenses

Closing RemarksFocus: Organic and opportunistic inorganic growth; improving operating margins amidst rising costs • Growth Opportunities: Confidence in India and Africa as alternatives to China • Appreciation: Thanks to participants for their support

Summary from November 2023

Gokaldas Exports Limited Q2 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Conference Call Details • Date: November 7, 2023 • Participants: Vice Chairman & Managing Director Mr. Sivaramakrishnan Ganapathi, CFO Mr. Sathyamurthy • Focus: Q2 FY24 earnings and future outlook

Financial PerformanceRevenue Decline: 11.7% drop due to weak retail demand and high inventory, especially in outerwear. • Operating Margins: Impacted by one-time expenses of Rs. 5.2 crores; EBITDA margin at 12%. • Future Projections: Targeting revenue recovery to Rs. 2,200 crores in H2 FY24, with EBITDA margin expansion to 12%-12.5%.

Strategic InitiativesNew Manufacturing Unit: Progressing in Madhya Pradesh; regulatory approvals expected by end of Q3 FY24. • Atraco Acquisition: Anticipated completion of acquisition; expected to enhance growth.

Market InsightsTextile Industry Outlook: Optimism for market share gains as demand increases; seasonal demand expected to boost exports in Q3 and Q4. • Inventory Management: Improvements noted among brands, likely benefiting Gokaldas in upcoming quarters.

Challenges and RisksMacroeconomic Factors: High US interest rates and geopolitical issues acknowledged. • RoSCTL Export Incentive: Ongoing discussions for extension beyond March 2024; potential impact on competitiveness.

Operational UpdatesEmployee Costs: Sustainable labor cost projected at Rs. 180-190 crores per quarter. • Capacity Utilization: Madhya Pradesh plant expected to reach 100% utilization by Q2 next financial year.

Geographic ExpansionFocus Markets: Primarily targeting the US and Europe; considering smaller markets like Australia and MENA if viable. • Trade Agreements: Potential benefits from UK and EU FTAs discussed; AGOA valid until December 2025.

Future Growth ExpectationsRevenue Growth: Anticipating 10% growth for FY24, factoring in Atraco's contribution. • Client Engagement: Commitment to maintaining margins despite pricing pressures.

ConclusionCommitment to Growth: Gokaldas Exports emphasizes execution excellence and strategic integration of Atraco to enhance future operations.

Summary from September 2023

Gokaldas Exports Limited Investor Call Summary

Acquisition Announcement • Date of call: September 5, 2023 • Focus: Acquisition of Atraco Group, an apparel manufacturer in Africa and UAE • Key speakers: Mr. Sivaramakrishnan Ganapathi (Vice Chairman & MD), Mr. Sathyamurthy (CFO)

Strategic Advantages of Acquisition • Access to low-cost manufacturing in Kenya and Ethiopia • Duty-free access to the U.S. market under AGOA treaty • Atraco's revenue: $107 million, profit after tax: $7.2 million (2022) • Expected deal closure by October 2023, pending regulatory approvals

Market Conditions and Capacity Utilization • Confidence in upcoming export growth despite current slow environment • Gokaldas' production split: 74% woven, 26% knit wear • Atraco's capacity utilization: just under 90%

AGOA Treaty and Product Overlap • Importance of AGOA renewal in December 2025 for U.S. sales • Product overlap: focus on woven products, Atraco has children's garments and knit wear

Management and Operational Plans • Retention of existing Atraco management for stability • Potential capacity expansion plans starting in 2024 • Anticipated financial consolidation into Gokaldas' P&L from November

Financial Details • Acquisition funding: $15 million cash, $40 million debt • Atraco's adjusted EBITDA margin: over 10.5%, $15 million working capital debt • Expected EBITDA efficiency improvement: 1.5% to 2% over 2-3 years

Operational Insights • Labor productivity: Kenya outperforms Ethiopia, but costs are higher in Kenya • Plans to diversify customer base towards Europe • Revenue growth from new factory in Kenya expected by 2025

Future Growth and Expansion • Limited growth anticipated in 2023 due to global conditions, better performance expected in 2024 • Expansion plans in Bangladesh contingent on market conditions • Focus on maintaining joint ventures and low-cost manufacturing regions

Financial Projections and Risks • EPS accretion estimated at Rs. 4.6/share based on 2022 numbers • Challenges in Ethiopian operations, but recovery expected • Gokaldas' revenue primarily from direct relationships with big box retailers

Conclusion • Emphasis on thorough due diligence and conservative acquisition approach • Anticipated 20% growth in calendar 2024, optimistic about European market expansion • Finalization of acquisition expected by end of October 2023

Summary from August 2023

Gokaldas Exports Limited Q1 FY'24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Company PerformanceDate of Call: August 8, 2023 • Management Present: Mr. Sivaramakrishnan G. (Vice Chairman & Managing Director), Mr. A. Sathyamurthy (CFO) • Market Context: Challenging global retail environment with declining apparel imports. • Operating Margin: Slight increase to 13%. • Net Cash: INR 433 crores. • Future Outlook: Optimism due to free trade agreements and new manufacturing capabilities.

Business TrendsCustomer Orders: Increased orders closer to delivery dates, reducing risk. • Bookings: Strong traction in Q3 with expectations for growth in Q4. • Gross Margins: Improved to 50% due to lower raw material costs and a shift towards fashion wear. • Sales Volume: 5.62 million pieces sold, down from 7 million, attributed to product mix.

Capital ExpendituresNew Facilities: Investments in a factory in Madhya Pradesh and fabric mills in Tamil Nadu. • Bangladesh Expansion: On hold pending demand revival. • Employee Costs: Wage hikes in Karnataka projected to stabilize between INR 140-150 crores.

Financial InsightsEBITDA Margins: Currently around 12%, with cautious optimism for improvement. • Average Realizations: Higher in the first half due to outerwear; expected to decrease in the second half.

Inventory and Order ManagementRaw Material Pricing: Locked in upon receiving orders to mitigate volatility. • Inventory Management: Improved processes leading to reduced inventory days.

Strategic ConsiderationsBangladesh Plant: Identified a plant under receivership but not yet operational. • Market Positioning: Focus on maintaining healthy margins without engaging in price wars. • Capacity Expansion: Ongoing projects in Bhopal and Tamil Nadu expected to drive future revenue.

Future Growth PotentialASP Growth: Nearing peak; future growth expected from volume increases. • Revenue Guidance: No specific guidance, but strong growth anticipated in H2 FY'24. • Bhopal Facility: Better labor availability, with plans for replication in other regions.

Free Trade AgreementsImpact of FTA with U.K.: Potential to enhance competitiveness against Bangladesh and China, opening a market worth around US$1 billion. • Market Recovery: Cautious optimism for recovery in U.S. and European markets, with growth opportunities for the Indian apparel industry.

Summary from June 2023

Gokaldas Exports Limited Q4 FY23 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Key Management and Market ConditionsDate of Call: May 29, 2023 • Participants: Vice Chairman & MD Mr. Sivaramakrishnan Ganapathi, CFO Mr. Sathyamurthy Annamalai • Market Challenges: High inflation and inventory liquidation affecting performance in H2 FY23.

Financial PerformanceRevenue Growth: 25% year-on-year. • Net Profit Growth: 48% year-on-year. • Operating Margins: Improved with strong cash generation.

Future OutlookDemand Expectations: Anticipated growth in H2 FY24 due to new customers from the US and UK. • Management Commitment: Focus on service excellence and market opportunities.

Customer and Inventory InsightsNew Customer Revenue: Expected to begin in FY24. • Inventory Levels: Varying situations among customers; some have liquidated stock.

Margin and CAPEX DiscussionEBITDA Margin: Current margin of 13.4% not sustainable; average margin to be considered. • CAPEX Updates: Madhya Pradesh unit to start in June 2023; Tamil Nadu unit expected in September 2023.

Joint Ventures and Growth TargetsBangladesh Joint Venture: Activation pending market signals. • Growth Target: 20% growth possible in normalized conditions, though short-term headwinds exist.

Market Positioning and Customer EngagementMarket Position: Operates in mass fashion premium segment; less impacted by downturns. • Customer Conversations: Improving but cautious; potential for increased orders in spring 2024.

Revenue and Product MixWallet Share: Gained from major clients despite overall order decreases. • Knitwear Contribution: Estimated 10-15% of total revenue; woven products remain dominant.

Dividend Policy and Closing RemarksDividend Initiation: Due to strong cash flow; intention to maintain trajectory. • Management's Commitment: Focus on operational efficiency, margin maintenance, and growth opportunities despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Summary from February 2023

Gokaldas Exports Limited Q3 FY'23 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Conference Call Overview • Date: February 20, 2023 • Key Participants: • Mr. Sivaramakrishnan Ganapathi (Vice Chairman and Managing Director) • Mr. Sathyamurthy (CFO) • Mr. Binay Sarda (Moderator, Ernst and Young)

Financial Performance • Revenues: INR 528 crores (consistent with previous year) • EBITDA Margin: 13.1% • Revenue Target for FY'23: INR 2,200 crores (confidence in achieving this) • Anticipated Growth for FY'24: 15% to 20%

Market Outlook • Short-term slowdowns expected in the US retail market. • Long-term growth prospects remain positive. • Ongoing capital expenditure plans.

Key DiscussionsMargin Differences: • Knit products have a 6% higher EBITDA margin than woven. • New facility in Madhya Pradesh expected to generate INR 55-60 crores in revenue.

Interest Costs: • Current costs around INR 9-10 crores per quarter; actual interest cost closer to INR 1.4 crores.

Employee and Machine Count: • Reduction in sewing machines to 13,000-13,500 and workforce down to under 30,000.

Strategic Insights • Potential $1 billion opportunity from the UK Free Trade Agreement. • Challenges in capturing non-cotton fast fashion market share. • Focus on maintaining profitability over aggressive revenue growth.

Future Projections • Theoretical revenue of INR 3,800 crores by FY '26 with expansions. • Cautious optimism for revenue recovery in the latter half of FY '24.

Market Conditions • Current economic indicators mixed; gradual uptick in demand expected as retailers clear excess inventory. • Anticipated challenges from global market conditions, particularly in the US and Europe.

Additional InquiriesChina Plus-One Strategy: Benefits expected with market growth. • Operations in Bangladesh: Active but slowed due to market conditions. • Tax Rate: Estimated effective rate around 23%.

Closing Remarks • Commitment to maintaining productivity and margins. • Confidence in weathering current market conditions and solid growth anticipated in the second half of the year.