AVG Logistics Limited (AVG)

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Summary from June 2024

AVG Logistics Limited Q4 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Financial PerformanceQ4 Revenue: INR 136.95 crores (21.33% YoY growth) • Total Income: INR 147 crores (28.42% increase) • EBITDA: INR 45.35 crores (61.26% growth, 33.12% margin) • PAT: INR 22.88 crores (106.56% increase) • Full Fiscal Year Revenue: INR 479.88 crores (12.3% increase) • Full Fiscal Year PAT: INR 31.92 crores (283.07% increase) • Dividend: 12% for shareholders

Future Growth PlansRevenue Target: INR 700 crores for FY25, with 25-30% from cold chain sector • QSR Sector Growth: Expected increase from INR 12-14 crores to INR 30 crores annually • Reefer Business Growth: Projected increase from INR 75-80 crores to INR 150 crores • PAT Margin Improvement: Anticipated to reach 5-6% in FY25

Sustainability InitiativesLNG Trucks: Introduction expected to generate higher revenue and margins • Electric Vehicles: Transitioning to enhance sustainability, with plans to add 100 vehicles

Multimodal Business StrategyRail Transport: Long-term contract with Indian Railways, light asset model • Revenue from Trains: Expected to exceed INR 200 crores next year

Operational UpdatesGreen Logistics Vehicles: 50 ordered, aiming for 100 by March 2025 • Exceptional Income: INR 14.23 crores from a warehousing project sale, one-off gain

Financial AdjustmentsRestatement: INR 7 crores and one-off sale of INR 13.94 crores improved PBT to INR 7.58 crores • Core Operations: 12.3% sales growth attributed to core business, with INR 13.5 crores from core operations

Investment and ReceivablesFuture Investments: Estimated need of INR 50-100 crores over 2-3 years • Receivable Days: Increased by 17 days; credit control team being implemented

Business SegmentationRevenue Sources: 85-90% from B2B clients; aim to increase B2C revenue to 25% in 2-3 years

Railway OperationsLoad Utilization: Current operations at 98% load utilization • LNG Truck Payback: Estimated at 3-4 years

Cost ManagementNHAI Toll Increase: Not expected to impact costs, potentially improving margins

Summary from February 2024

AVG Logistics Q3 FY24 Earnings Call Summary

Earnings PerformanceDate of Call: February 21, 2024 • Revenue: ₹125.28 crore for Q3 FY24 (up ₹16.87 crore YoY) • EBITDA: ₹23.14 crore; EBITDA margin improved from 18.16% to 18.47% • Profit After Tax (PAT): ₹4.8 crore; PAT margin increased from 1.26% to 3.83% • Nine-Month Revenue: ₹344.01 crore (9.09% growth)

Key DevelopmentsMajor Contracts: ₹150 crore contract for leasing a Parcel Express Train • Fleet Expansion: Addition of 50 cold chain vehicles; current fleet over 275, targeting 400 by December 2024 • Cost Savings: Acquisition of 50 used reefers, saving ₹30 lakhs per vehicle

Growth StrategyCold Chain Sector: Partnerships with BigBasket and GlaxoSmithKline; new clients include PepsiCo and Colgate • Revenue Target: ₹700 crores by March 2025, driven by organic growth and new ventures • New Services: Introduction of Packers and Movers service with EBITDA margins of 25-30%

Rail Business InsightsCurrent Operations: Six trains generating ₹120-130 crores in revenue • Expansion Plans: Increase routes and capacity; focus on sustainability and cost advantages over road transport • Revenue Target: ₹500 crores for FY24 with improved EBITDA margins

Customer Acquisition and Tax InsightsKey Industries: Chocolate, pharmaceuticals, dairy, and QSRs • Cold Warehouses: Plans to construct three by December 2024 • Tax Rate: Current rate at 25%, expected to rise to around 30% for FY25

Financial ProjectionsEBITDA Margin: Projected at 22-25% for FY25 • Debt Reduction: Gross debt expected to decrease from ₹110 crores to ₹85 crores by March 2024 • PAT Projection: Targeting ₹30-35 crores for FY25 with a PAT margin of 10% in 3-4 years

Competitive LandscapeMarket Position: Increasing competition, but differentiation through rail logistics and multimodal transport • Client Base: 70% of revenue from top 10 clients; focus on expanding across various sectors, especially FMCG

Closing RemarksCompany Philosophy: Emphasis on honesty and dedication to customer service as key to client retention • Engagement: Strong investor interest indicated during the Q&A session

Summary from November 2023

AVG Logistics Q2 FY24 Earnings Call Summary

Company OverviewEstablished: 2010 • Specialization: Multimodal logistics solutions (transportation, warehousing, supply chain management) • Major Clients: Nestle, Coca Cola

Financial Performance (H1 FY24)Revenue: INR 218.7 crores (5.09% increase YoY) • EBITDA: INR 40.37 crores • PAT: INR 4.25 crores

Q2 FY24 HighlightsRevenue: INR 117.9 crores (6.25% increase YoY) • EBITDA: INR 21.3 crores • PAT: INR 1.72 crores • Focus: Expansion of reefer business for higher margins

Key DiscussionsIndAS Accounting Impact: • 8% improvement in EBITDA • 2% increase in PAT due to cost-saving initiatives • Warehousing Plans: • Aim to double space from 8 lakh to 16 lakh square feet in three years • Rail Segment Revenue Projection: • Expected INR 700-750 crores by March 2025

Operational StrategiesFleet Expansion: • Investment in 250 reefer vehicles and additional 150 vehicles • Driver to Owner Scheme: • Engaging 50 vehicles with a limit of two vehicles per driver • Multimodal Logistics Shift: • Expecting to increase from 30% to 50% of business

Financial ProjectionsTurnover Projection: INR 520-525 crores for FY24 (40% increase) • New Ventures: Packers and Movers, Liquid Logistics with higher EBITDA margins • Debt Reduction: From INR 110-115 crores to INR 95-96 crores

Future OutlookProfitability Goals: • Projected PAT margin of 10% by 2025 • Aim to be debt-free by March 2026 • Long-term Growth Targets: • INR 1,000 crores turnover in five years; INR 2,500-3,000 crores in ten years

Joint Ventures and Strategic InitiativesJV with Sunil Transport: • AVG holds 51%, expected annual revenue of INR 25-50 crores • Onboarding of Strategic Advisor: • Gazal Kalra, expertise in sustainability and technology

Electric Vehicle PlansCurrent Status: Few last-mile delivery EVs; exploring larger EVs for future cost savings

Closing RemarksFuture Growth: Optimistic projections for 20-30% annual increase in turnover despite past challenges due to COVID-19.