Ashiana Housing Limited (ASHIANA)

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Summary from June 2024

Ashiana Housing Ltd. Earnings Call Summary (May 29, 2024)

Key HighlightsEarnings Performance • Record sales value of Rs. 1,798.22 crores for FY24 (up from Rs. 1,313.43 crores in FY23). • Total revenue of Rs. 966.52 crores for FY24 (more than double the previous year). • Comprehensive income of Rs. 84.24 crores. • Average sales price per square foot increased by 34% year-on-year.

Management Insights • Emphasis on maintaining cash flexibility for future acquisitions over buybacks. • Anticipated margin expansion to 17%-18% by FY’27. • Focus on capital returns rather than aggressive growth in land acquisitions.

Future ProjectionsSales and Construction Targets • Target of Rs. 2,000 crores in pre-sales for FY’25, contingent on market conditions. • Annual construction target of 25-26 lakh square feet, despite potential fluctuations.

Project Updates • Ongoing negotiations for new land parcels, particularly in senior living. • Exploration of new cities for senior living projects, including Bangalore and NCR.

Financial ConsiderationsCost Management • Inflation impacts on construction costs are manageable. • Expected expansion of gross profit margins despite rising costs.

Joint Ventures and Partnerships • Equal profit sharing and fee structures in partnerships, ensuring expected returns.

Sales StrategySales Projections for Ashiana Amarah • Conservative sales estimates; not anticipating Rs. 1,500 crores from Amarah. • Focus on larger, premium senior living projects rather than hybrid developments.

Conclusion • Management expressed optimism about future growth and invited further inquiries from participants.

Summary from February 2024

Ashiana Housing Ltd. Earnings Call Summary (February 13, 2024)

Key Financial HighlightsQuarter Performance: • Area booked decreased to 3.35 lakh sq. ft. • Revenue dropped to INR 189.25 crores. • Profit after tax increased slightly to INR 27.8 crores. • Future Growth Outlook: • Anticipated annual growth rate of 15%-20% in area booked value. • New project launches expected in Q4.

Upcoming ProjectsQ4 Launch Plans: • Three new projects totaling approximately 24-25 lakh sq. ft. • 5-6 lakh sq. ft. expected to launch this quarter. • FY'25 Projections: • Phases of three projects totaling around 30 lakh sq. ft. • Target of INR 1,500 crores in pre-sales, contingent on RERA approval.

Pricing StrategyCurrent Pricing Trends: • Project prices are 20%-30% higher than anticipated two years ago. • Senior living projects priced between INR 4,700-7,000 per sq. ft. • Premium homes priced between INR 3,500-7,000 per sq. ft. • Challenges: • Rising land prices affecting unit economics. • Ongoing land acquisition efforts in Bangalore and Mumbai.

Market Demand and Growth ProjectionsDemand Insights: • Healthy demand across various regions, with some challenges in premium homes in Bhiwadi. • Real estate cycles typically last 6-7 years; favorable supply conditions expected for 1-1.5 years. • Growth Rate Projection: • Annualized growth rate of 15%-20% over the next 2-3 years, with potential fluctuations.

Financial ManagementDebt-Equity Ratio: • Preference to maintain a ratio of 0.3-0.5, avoiding higher leverage. • Senior Living Projects: • Generate maintenance revenue but do not significantly contribute to profits.

ConclusionCall Wrap-Up: • Participants thanked and encouraged to reach out via email for further inquiries. • Compliance: • Communication signed by Nitin Sharma, Company Secretary, with investor relations contact information provided.

Summary from November 2023

Ashiana Housing Ltd. Earnings Call Summary (November 16, 2023)

Company PerformanceQuarter and Half-Year Results: Performance for the quarter and half-year ending September 30, 2023. • Key Management: Whole-Time Director Varun Gupta and CFO Vikash Dugar led the call. • Highlights: • New land acquisitions and project launches. • Increased sales with 5.92 lakh square feet booked in Q2 FY2024, valued at ₹325.60 Crores. • Total revenue of ₹351.02 Crores and profit after tax of ₹27.35 Crores.

Future Sales GrowthSales Targets: Aim to increase pre-sales from 25 lakh square feet to 30-35 lakh square feet in the coming year. • Focus Areas: Price increases and higher-value projects.

Development StrategyHorizontal Plotted Development: Not pursued; focus remains on home building and well-designed living spaces. • Construction Targets: Target of 2 to 2.2 million square feet for FY2024.

Market DynamicsLead Conversion Rates: Improved due to market changes and enhanced sales processes. • New Projects: Larger project in Jaipur discussed, with challenges in attracting different demographics.

Project Launch ApproachMarket Conditions: Decisions based on micro market evolution rather than overall market trends. • Supply Dynamics: Demand outpacing supply in key markets like Gurugram and Jaipur.

Senior Living SectorGrowth Potential: Optimism about senior living becoming a larger part of the business. • Pricing Dynamics: Prices in senior living have not increased as much as residential prices.

Construction Costs and Land StrategyRising Costs: Preference for revenue share transactions over outright land purchases. • Operational Goals: Treating land as a raw material rather than a long-term investment.

Luxury Segment StrategyFocus on Premium Housing: Competitive advantage in design, construction quality, and customer service. • Consumer Feedback: Addressing maintenance issues through a dedicated social media team.

Financial ProjectionsReturn on Equity (ROE): Expected to exceed 15% this year. • Pre-Sales Targets: ₹1,500 crores for FY2024, with higher targets anticipated for FY2025.

Delivery ExpectationsFY2024 Deliveries: Approximately 26 lakh square feet expected. • Cumulative Deliveries: 50-55 lakh square feet planned from FY2025 to FY2027, generating revenues of ₹2,600-₹3,000 crores.

Consumer PreferencesKid-Centric Projects: Growing consumer preference noted, with a focus on senior living as a differentiated product. • Profit Contribution: Senior living expected to represent 30-50% of profit shares in the future.

ConclusionInvitation for Inquiries: Call concluded with an invitation for further questions.

Summary from August 2023

Ashiana Housing Ltd. Earnings Call Summary (August 9, 2023)

Key HighlightsPerformance Metrics: • Area booked increased to 6.53 lakh sq. ft. (up from 3.34 lakh sq. ft. YoY). • Total revenue rose to ₹129.3 crores. • Profit After Tax (PAT) reported at ₹10.87 crores. • Pre-tax operating cash flow of ₹83.15 crores.

Sales Guidance: • Pre-sales guidance maintained at ₹1,500 crores for the year. • Strong sales from Ashiana Amarah Phase 2.

Future Projects and StrategyProject Launches: • Plans to launch five projects, including Ashiana Amodh in Pune. • Focus on maintaining a balanced project pipeline of around 1 crore sq. ft.

Market Expansion: • Plans to ramp up operations in Pune and Chennai, especially in senior living. • Actively pursuing new acquisitions with ongoing discussions for two transactions.

Shareholder Returns and Financial OutlookBuyback Strategy: • Recent buyback at ₹301 per share viewed as a one-time cash distribution.

Financial Performance Expectations: • Anticipated pre-tax operating cash flows of ₹250-300 crores for the year. • Collections around ₹250 crores for the quarter.

Market InsightsGurugram Market: • Expected to contribute one-third of sales and profits. • Average realization for a recent project at ₹7,700 per sq. ft.

Price Trends: • Apartment prices appreciating, but land prices rising faster and stabilizing. • Cautious outlook on future price appreciation due to market conditions.

Investor Sentiment and Future ConsiderationsInvestor Interest: • Shift towards buy-to-let investors rather than property flippers.

Financial Targets: • Aiming for a 10-15% PAT margin with a focus on maintaining healthy EBITDA margins. • Cautious approach to capital deployment, prioritizing land acquisitions and joint ventures.

Conclusion • Management expressed optimism about future growth and stable margins despite market fluctuations. • Participants were thanked for their attendance, and the call concluded.

Summary from June 2023

Ashiana Housing Ltd. Earnings Call Summary (June 7, 2023)

Company Performance HighlightsEarnings Call Date: June 7, 2023 • Fiscal Year End: March 31, 2023 • Key Participants: Varun Gupta (Whole-Time Director), Vikash Dugar (CFO) • New Projects: Launched five new projects • Pre-sales Achievement: ₹1,313.43 crores (75% increase in area booked) • Average Sales Price: Increased by 31% to ₹5,080 per square foot • Total Revenue: ₹425.19 crores • Comprehensive Income: ₹28.78 crores for FY '23

Sales and Revenue ProjectionsSales Run Rate Inquiry: Expected sales value push of ₹1,500 crores for FY '24 • Land Deal Update: 25% payment made for HSIIDC land; project launch expected in FY '25 • Sales Strategy: Focus on higher sale prices and volume growth; target gross margin of 30%

Financial Targets and StrategiesReturn on Equity (ROE): Aim for 15% at the company level, expected to exceed in FY '23-24 • Gurgaon Market Importance: Contributed 40% of booked area value; prices expected to reach ₹7,500-8,500 per square foot • Gross Profit Margin Target: 30%; Profit After Tax (PAT) margin of 13-15% • Sales and Marketing Expenses: Projected at 4-4.5% of sales; administrative overheads at 7-7.7%

Asset Management and Future PlansStock Booking: ₹2,100 crores with potential sales value of ₹5,500 crores • Focus on Non-Core Assets: Disposing of assets like a school and hotel in Bhiwadi • Senior Living Projects: Shifting focus to cities like Chennai and Pune

Market Conditions and ChallengesEBITDA Margins: Low due to increased operational costs and fixed costs burden • Land Prices: Nearly doubled since FY '20; sales prices increased by 20-50% • Occupancy Ratio: Maintains a balanced 50/50 ratio of owners to tenants

Market OutlookHousing Market Concerns: Limited supply alleviates affordability issues; larger flats are selling well • Resale Policy: Prohibits resale of flats without registration to limit speculative trading

ConclusionCall Closure: Vikash Dugar thanked participants and invited further questions via email.

Summary from February 2023

Ashiana Housing Ltd. Earnings Call Summary (February 15, 2023)

Key Financial HighlightsArea Booked: Increased to 9.03 lakh sq. ft. • Total Sales Value: Rose to ₹ 877.62 crores (April to December 2022). • Average Realization Price: Improved to ₹ 5,373 per sq. ft. • Q3 FY '23 Revenue: Increased to ₹ 135.31 crores. • Comprehensive Income: Positive at ₹ 9.29 crores.

Challenges and OptimismConstruction Delays: Due to regulatory bans and supply chain issues. • Management Outlook: Optimistic about future construction volumes.

Upcoming ProjectsNew Developments: Planned in Jaipur, Jamshedpur, and Chennai. • Project Launches: Two projects totaling approximately 14 lakh sq. ft. in Q4; 3 million sq. ft. expected in FY '24. • Land Inventory: Sufficient for the next 3-4 years, with future acquisitions needed.

Project Delivery and Revenue RecognitionMinor Delays: 15-30 days in project deliveries. • Key Revenue Source: Ashiana Daksh project in Jaipur completed ahead of schedule. • Ongoing Projects: Ashiana Sehar on track; Ashiana Aditya may face slight delays.

Profit Margins and Business DevelopmentGross Profit Margins: Average of 27%-28% for older projects; expected improvement. • Senior Living Projects: Contributing 10%-20% of business; goal to increase revenue to ₹300-400 crores.

Strategic DiscussionsProfit Margin Expansion: Targeting 3-5% higher margins in senior living projects. • Cyclicality Reduction: Focus on stabilizing cash flows over consistent profitability. • Expected Deliveries: 6-6.5 lakh sq. ft. in Q4 and around 6.5 lakh sq. ft. in Q1 FY '24.

Additional ConsiderationsBoard Deliberations: Ongoing discussions about buybacks and dividends. • Sales Performance: Approximately 1,200 units sold, averaging ₹70 lakhs per unit.

ConclusionManagement Sentiment: Optimistic about future growth and margin expansion, with an invitation for further inquiries.