Apex Frozen Foods Limited (APEX)

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Summary from May 2024

Apex Frozen Foods Limited Q4 and FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Financial PerformanceQ4 FY24 Revenue: Rs.162 crores, down from Rs.212 crores YoY. • Sales Growth: 31% increase in sales to the European Union. • Challenges: Subdued U.S. demand and lower global shrimp prices.

Future OutlookGrowth Potential: Optimism for EU market growth pending regulatory approvals for Ready-to-Eat products. • Debt and Cash Flow: Reduced debt and improved cash flow noted.

Regulatory and Market DynamicsEcuadorian Duties: • Preliminary countervailing duties (CVD) and anti-dumping duties confirmed. • Ecuador's anti-dumping duty at 10.58%, Indonesia at 6.3%. • India's Duties: 1.35% anti-dumping duty and 4.36% CVD.

Market ConditionsU.S. Market Demand: Current pressure acknowledged, but hope for recovery as inflation stabilizes. • Impact of CVD: Slight price increase for shrimp exports to the U.S. due to CVD and rising freight costs.

Operational InsightsDepreciation Expenses: Significant decrease attributed to reassessing asset lifespans. • Hatchery Sales: Slight increase noted, but farmers remain cautious due to low prices and market uncertainties.

Competitive LandscapeEcuador vs. India: New duties may level the playing field in the U.S. market. • European Market: Increased revenue share from Europe, with duties on Indian shrimp at 4.3% for RTC and 7.7% for RTE products.

Closing RemarksMarket Share Inquiry: Leading Ecuadorian shrimp processing company generates over a billion USD in exports. • Future Engagement: Participants invited to send further inquiries via email.

Summary from February 2024

Apex Frozen Foods Limited Q3 and 9MFY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Financial PerformanceQ3FY24 Revenue: Rs 148 crores, down from Rs 230 crores YoY. • Sales Volume: 2,117 metric tons, decreased from 2,869 metric tons YoY. • Average Realization: Rs 663 per kilo, down from Rs 748. • EU Sales Growth: Increased by 50% YoY, improving sales mix.

Market Challenges and StrategiesU.S. Market Impact: Lower sales due to Ecuador's shrimp supply and global price declines. • Future Optimism: Establishing a U.S. subsidiary for logistics and market development. • Antidumping Duties: Monitoring U.S. Department of Commerce investigations for potential impacts.

Product Approvals and Capacity UtilizationRTE Shrimp Products: Pending EU approvals since 2019, expected to boost business. • Capacity Utilization: Currently below 50%, with expectations of improvement in FY25.

Sales Dynamics and PricingRTE Product Sales: Decline attributed to reduced supermarket chain sales; optimism for new programs in FY25. • Pricing Dynamics: Low shrimp prices expected to rebound due to supply constraints and tariffs.

Growth OutlookFY24 Slowdown: Acknowledged due to weak overseas demand and supply chain issues. • FY25 Targets: Aiming for sales volumes of 15,000 to 18,000 metric tons.

External FactorsEcuador's Civil Unrest: Minimal impact on pricing or supply chains noted. • Freight Costs: Slight increase due to the Red Sea conflict, but below pandemic levels.

Collaboration and Market StrategyTargeting Higher-Value Markets: Focus on the U.S. and EU for value-added products. • Support for Aquaculture: Positive outlook on government allocations to the fisheries sector.

ConclusionCautious Optimism: Despite current challenges, management expresses hope for recovery and improved market conditions in the upcoming quarters.

Summary from November 2023

Apex Frozen Foods Limited Q2 and H1 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Submission Details • Date of submission: November 28, 2023 • Event: Q2 and H1 FY24 Earnings Conference Call • Date of call: November 21, 2023 • Signed by: Managing Director Karuturi Subrahmanya Chowdary

Financial HighlightsNet Revenue Decline: 22% year-over-year, totaling Rs 242 crores • Sales Volume: Decreased by 13% • Average Realization: Decreased by 10% due to weak USA demand • Sales Metrics: • Q2 FY24 sales: 3,084 metric tons (down from 3,565 metric tons last year) • EU market sales: 63% year-over-year increase, now 40% of total sales • Average realization: Rs 738 per kilo (6% sequential improvement) • Profitability: EBITDA margin improved to 8.1% (up 300 basis points quarter-over-quarter)

Strategic Focus • Establishing a wholly-owned subsidiary in the USA for logistics and market development. • Cautious optimism for demand recovery in the USA and EU during the holiday season. • Exploring new markets to diversify revenue streams.

Ecuadorian Shrimp Production • Consistent supply but facing challenges due to rising costs and government policy changes (removal of diesel subsidies). • Anticipated 10% cost impact expected to affect production and pricing strategies in 2024.

Domestic Shrimp Farming in India • Farmers adopting cautious approaches due to high costs and stagnant prices (around Rs 300). • Adjustments in stocking densities and production strategies reflecting subdued industry mood.

Capacity Expansion and Market Access • Capacity expansion in ready-to-eat (RTE) and ready-to-cook (RTC) products totaling 25,000 metric tons. • Challenges accessing the EU market due to pending regulatory approvals for three years. • Optimism for future EU-India discussions on free trade agreements to reduce import duties.

Market Landscape and Production Costs • Discussion on production costs for ready-to-cook shrimp in India vs. Ecuador. • Ecuador's focus on commodity shrimp products; challenges in scaling up value-added products due to labor shortages. • Shorter shipping times from Ecuador to the U.S. make their products appealing despite production challenges.

Impact of Super El Niño • Anticipated significant effects on shrimp production in Ecuador and Latin America, though the extent is uncertain. • Company does not manufacture shrimp feed, limiting insights on feed cost impacts.

Conclusion • Call concluded with an invitation for further inquiries via email.

Summary from August 2023

Apex Frozen Foods Q1 FY24 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Financial HighlightsDate of Call: August 17, 2023 • Net Revenue: INR 253 crores • 20% quarter-on-quarter growth • 8% year-on-year volume decline due to subdued U.S. demand

Market Diversification • Focus on expanding presence in Europe and the UK • Aims to mitigate challenges from: • High inflation • Competition from Ecuador's shrimp supply • Management expresses cautious optimism for improved demand in the holiday season

Ready-to-Eat (RTE) Product ExpansionCapacity Increase: 5,000 metric tons commissioned in May 2023 • Commercial production began in June • Targeting retail markets over food service • Expected optimal utilization: 7,000 to 8,000 tons out of 10,000 tons

EU Market Approvals • Positive developments regarding EU market approvals expected by end of Q2 or early Q3 2023 • Estimated 40 to 50 Indian suppliers approved for RTE products in the EU

Competition and Market Dynamics • Ongoing competition from Ecuador in the U.S. market • Ecuador's shrimp production expected to reach 1.2 to 1.5 million metric tons • Shift in focus towards promoting global shrimp consumption

Supply and Demand Challenges • Q2 typically sees better shrimp production; however, challenges anticipated this year • Farmers focusing on larger shrimp sizes due to changing demand patterns

Cost Pressures and Market Strategy • Rising labor and feed costs alongside declining selling prices • Producers adapting by optimizing costs and increasing automation • Cautious exploration of new markets, including inquiries from Russia

India's Global Market Share • India's market share stagnant due to production levels compared to Ecuador • Apex must boost production or rely on competitors' declines to maintain market share • Diversification of product offerings to absorb fixed costs and increase market share in the EU and UK

Conclusion • Call concluded with an invitation for further inquiries via email.

Summary from June 2023

Apex Frozen Foods Q4 FY23 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Submission Details • Date of submission: June 9, 2023 • Call date: June 5, 2023 • Submitted to: Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India • Signed by: Karuturi Subrahmanya Chowdary, Managing Director and Interim CFO

Financial HighlightsVolume Growth: 8% year-on-year increase in shrimp sales • Ready-to-Eat Products: Comprise 22% of sales; capacity expanded • Net Revenue: Increased by 16% to Rs 10,703 million • EBITDA and Profit: Decreased due to higher material costs and a Rs 7.5 crore write-off • Balance Sheet: Improved with reduced gross debt and working capital days

Market InsightsUS Market: Stable demand; slow inventory consumption attributed to recession and inflation • EU Market: Potential for growth, especially in ready-to-cook products • China: Continued demand expected • New Markets: Exploring opportunities in Saudi Arabia, South Korea, and Japan

Challenges and StrategiesRegulatory Issues: Facing challenges in Saudi Arabia • Demand in New Markets: South Korea and Japan show potential for value-added products • Write-off Clarification: Rs 7.5 crore write-off related to shrimp seed sales, confirmed as one-off

Future ProjectionsReady-to-Eat Products: Projected volume of 3,000 to 5,000 metric tons for FY24 • Sales Volume Expectations: Anticipating around 7,000 metric tons in the first half of the fiscal year • Raw Material Costs: Recent decrease noted, but caution expressed about future price stability

Inventory and Working CapitalInventory Breakdown: Total around Rs 180 crores, with Rs 165 crores in finished goods • Working Capital Improvement: Expected due to better realizations and inventory utilization

Closing RemarksEncouragement for Questions: Participants invited to reach out via email for further inquiries • Optimism for Future Sales: Expectation of a minimum of 30% incremental sales in upcoming quarters

Summary from February 2023

Apex Frozen Foods Q3 FY23 Earnings Conference Call Summary

Date and SubmissionDate of Call: February 15, 2023 • Submission Date: February 20, 2023 • Submitted to: Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India

Key Financial HighlightsShrimp Sales: 10,193 metric tons (6% YoY increase) • Net Revenue: Rs 813 crores (16% rise) • Ready-to-Eat Segment Growth: 20%

Challenges FacedInflationary Pressures: Affected demand in U.S. and EU markets • Supply Constraints: Specific shrimp sizes impacted • Production Challenges: Due to new production line installation

Optimistic Outlook • Anticipation of demand recovery and supply improvements with new harvest season • Expected EU approval for new plant by April/May

Inventory and Production InsightsInventory Levels: Reduced to Rs 175 crores • Order Book: Significantly lower compared to previous quarters • Production Capacity: New Ready-to-Eat line nearing completion

Market and Pricing DynamicsFarm Gate Prices: Stabilized after low period; focus on value-added products • Government Budget Impact: Duty concessions on imported inputs expected to positively affect costs

Revenue and Customer BreakdownUtilization Levels: Expected increase in FY '24 • Customer Focus: Balanced approach to retail and food service in the U.S. market

EBITDA and Margin ExpectationsEBITDA Margins: Anticipated return to 11%-12% with increased production capacity • Ready-to-Eat vs. Ready-to-Cook Margins: Average margin of $0.50 per kilo

Future Capacity and Revenue ProjectionsNew Capacity: Estimated additional Rs. 200 crores in export sales if 50% utilized in the first year • Total Capacity: 10,000 metric tons operational by March FY '23

Production Cost InfluencesCost Factors: Include feed, land lease, electricity, and disease management • Survivability Impact: Lower survivability leads to higher costs per kilo

ConclusionFocus on Competitiveness: Government initiatives aimed at improving survivability and reducing costs • Mixed Farmer Responses: Varied approaches to stocking densities among farmers

Closing Remarks • Choudary thanked participants and invited further inquiries.