Allcargo Logistics Limited (ALLCARGO)

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Summary from May 2024

Date and ParticipantsDate of Call: May 27, 2024 • Key Participants: • Ravi Jakhar (Group Chief Strategy Officer) • Deepal Shah (Group Chief Financial Officer)

Business Strategy and PerformanceSeparation of Businesses: • Ongoing efforts to separate domestic and international operations by early 2025. • Contract Logistics Resilience: • Strong performance amid macroeconomic challenges. • Express Business Improvement: • Gati's gross profit rose by 16% and EBITDA increased by 115% from the previous quarter.

Financial Performance (Q4 FY24)Consolidated Revenue: • INR 3,398 crores (6% increase from previous quarter). • EBITDA: • Decreased to INR 99 crores from INR 111 crores. • Profit After Tax: • Reported at INR (-12) crores, down from INR (+17) crores in Q3 FY24. • Net Debt: • Increased to INR 407 crores, up by INR 193 crores.

Segment PerformanceInternational Supply Chain: • Flat demand due to inflation; LCL volumes stable, FCL volumes up by 2.5%. • ECU Worldwide's revenue grew by 6% to INR 2,570 crores, but EBITDA fell by 12% to INR 57 crores. • Express Business: • Decline in volumes and revenue, but EBITDA improved to INR 14 crores. • Contract Logistics: • Near-flat revenue with slight EBITDA decrease.

Q&A HighlightsEBITDA per TEU: • Not applicable due to mixed business nature. • Global Freight Rates: • Recent increases attributed to supply-demand dynamics and inventory restocking. • LCL Network: • Emphasized flexibility in managing shipping disruptions. • Layoff Expenses: • Severance costs estimated at $1.5 to $2 million, with similar costs expected to continue.

Future OutlookTrade Lane Development: • Opportunities identified in Brazil and Germany; China contributes 15% to 18% of overall volume. • Restructuring Timeline: • Expected completion between January and early March 2025. • Gross Debt: • Reported at INR 960 crores, with ECU holding negligible net debt and around INR 300 crores in cash.

Closing RemarksOptimism for Future: • Management expressed positive outlook on upcoming developments. • Call Conclusion: • Officially ended by moderator from PhillipCapital (India) Private Limited.

Summary from February 2024

Date and ContextDate of Call: February 13, 2024 • Financial Period: Quarter and nine months ending December 31, 2023 • Participants: Management team including Group Chief Strategy Officer and Group Chief Financial Officer

Key HighlightsRestructuring Scheme: • Demerger of international supply chain business • Consolidation of logistics operations • Market Conditions: • Subdued global trade due to inflation • Anticipated demand improvement in H2 2024 • Cost Reduction Initiatives: • Outsourcing and digitization to enhance profitability from April 2024

Financial PerformanceQ3 FY24 Results: • Consolidated revenue: Rs. 3,212 crores (3% decline) • EBITDA: Rs. 111 crores (6% decline) • Profit after tax: Rs. 17 crores (stable) • Segment Performance: • International supply chain: Rs. 2,721 crores (2% decline) • Express business: Rs. 371 crores (11% volume growth, slight revenue decline) • Contract logistics: Revenue increase to Rs. 78 crores • Balance Sheet: Healthy with net debt of Rs. 214 crores

Future OutlookEBIT Expectations: • Stable SG&A costs despite volume increases • Optimism for volume rebound in H2 2024 • E-commerce Impact: • Significant contributor to Less than Container Load (LCL) trade • LCL trade growing at twice the rate of global container trade

Sector Performance InsightsContract Logistics: • Stable performance in chemicals; growth in e-commerce and automotive sectors • Projected decrease in chemicals' revenue share from 35-40% to 25-30% • Margins: • Expected to remain stable at 12%-14% • Investments in warehouse space and personnel may temporarily impact margins

Operational ExpensesOpex and SG&A: • Opex influenced by freight rates and utilization • SG&A around 20% of revenue; 50% of gross profit allocated to SG&A • Marginal savings offset by severance costs from layoffs

Regional PerformanceTrade Declines: • Notable decline in trade from China and Asia-Pacific • Anticipated recovery in these regions • Market Specifics: • Positive volume and gross margin contributions in the U.S. and Germany • Cautious outlook for Western Europe

Gati's FutureOperational Enhancements: • Initiatives to improve capabilities and infrastructure • Expectation of volume growth and improved profitability

Conclusion • Encouragement for ongoing engagement with the Investor Relations team for further inquiries.

Summary from December 2023

Earnings Conference Call Overview • Date: December 22, 2023 • Participants: Key management including Ravi Jakhar, Deepal Shah, and Pirojshaw Sarkari. • Purpose: Discuss Composite Scheme of Arrangement and company restructuring.

Restructuring PlansDemerger: International supply chain business to form Allcargo ECU Limited. • Consolidation: Gati Express Supply Chain and Allcargo Supply Chain into Allcargo Logistics. • Share Distribution: • 1:1 share allocation for Allcargo shareholders in Allcargo ECU. • 63 shares in Allcargo Logistics for every 10 shares held by Allcargo Gati shareholders. • Goals: Strengthen balance sheet and create a synergistic business model.

Financial InsightsCombined Turnover: Approximately Rs. 1,800 crores with an EBITDA of Rs. 190-195 crores. • Margin Profiles: Similar margins (10%-15%) expected to improve through synergies. • Debt Projections: Allcargo Logistics to have around Rs. 250 crores in debt post-restructuring. • Equity Fund Raise: Plans for Rs. 500 crores pending shareholder approval.

Market OutlookGlobal Trade: Weak macroeconomic environment anticipated to improve in H2 2024. • Cost Optimization: Focus on operational efficiencies and expected improvements in early 2024.

Merger DetailsShare Structure: Approximately 139.2 crore total shares post-merger. • Independent Valuations: Ensured fair valuations for Allcargo and Gati shareholders. • Future Revenue Targets: ₹3,000 crore target for Gati post-merger.

Operational EfficiencyAsset-Light Model: Focus on rental commitments rather than capital expenditures. • Expansion Plans: Aim to increase warehousing from 5 million sq. ft. to 10 million sq. ft. with digitized services.

Additional InquiriesTrade Receivables: Concerns addressed regarding rising figures and stable DSO metrics. • Impact of Global Events: Discussion on Red Sea attacks affecting shipping routes and potential cost implications.

Conclusion • Management expressed optimism about the restructuring and growth potential, inviting further inquiries from investors and analysts.

Summary from November 2023

Conference Call DetailsDate: November 15, 2023 • Hosted by: Dolat Capital • Key Management Representatives: • Mr. Ravi Jakhar (Group Chief Strategy Officer) • Mr. Deepal Shah (Group CFO) • Transcript Availability: On the company's website • Signed by: Devanand Mojidra (Company Secretary & Compliance Officer)

Macroeconomic Overview • Slow global recovery from the pandemic. • Concerns about China's trade outlook and geopolitical tensions affecting fuel prices. • IMF downgraded global GDP growth forecast for 2024.

Corporate Actions • Approval of a three-for-one bonus share issuance to improve liquidity. • Successful demerger of two businesses. • Strong balance sheet maintained despite recent acquisitions.

Business Segment PerformanceInternational Supply Chain: • Challenges faced, particularly in ECU Worldwide. • Focus on market share and cost efficiencies. • Express Business (Gati Express): • Strong performance due to increased demand and infrastructure improvements. • Contract Logistics: • Growth in e-commerce and new chemical warehousing facility.

Financial Performance (Q2 FY2024)Consolidated Revenue: 3,307 Crores (down from 5,055 Crores in Q2 FY2023). • EBITDA: Decreased to 118 Crores. • Profit After Tax: Fell to 16 Crores from 195 Crores year-on-year. • International Supply Chain Revenue: Dropped to 2,795 Crores. • Express Business: 18% year-on-year volume growth. • Contract Logistics: Small revenue decline but improved EBITDA. • Net Debt: 120 Crores.

Future Outlook • Cautious outlook for Q3 and Q4 due to expected muted demand, especially around the Chinese New Year. • Anticipated improvements in profitability from cost reduction initiatives starting in April 2024. • Ongoing efforts to simplify company structure.

Market Position and Acquisitions • India’s strong position in international supply chain business, particularly in profitability. • Recent acquisitions resulted in a cash outflow of approximately 750-800 Crores. • Concerns raised about Gati's financial performance and need for a strategic turnaround.

Conclusion • Ongoing communication with investors encouraged. • Focus on Gati's express business performance rather than consolidated figures.

Summary from August 2023

Conference Call Overview • Date: August 11, 2023 • Participants: • Ravi Jakhar (Group Chief Strategy Officer) • Deepal Shah (Group CFO) • Sailesh Raja (Moderator, B&K Securities) • Focus: Company performance for the quarter ending June 30, 2023

Key Challenges and OutlookInternational Trade Challenges: • Disappointing results due to ongoing pressure on volumes. • Cautious optimism for H2 2023; no sharp trade rebound expected. • Business Segment Insights: • Emphasis on contract logistics and financial transparency.

Performance HighlightsContract Logistics: • Strong performance driven by favorable conditions in India and demand in the chemical sector. • Healthy order pipeline anticipated. • Express Business: • Increased ownership (65%) after acquiring a 30% stake. • Improved operational metrics and revenue growth. • International Supply Chain: • Faced challenges from a weakening global trade environment. • Decline in gross profits and EBITDA due to lower volumes and competition.

Financial PerformanceQ1 FY24 Results: • Consolidated revenue: Rs. 3,271 crores (down from Rs. 5,474 crores YoY). • EBITDA: Rs. 139 crores (down from Rs. 360 crores YoY). • International supply chain revenue: Rs. 2,823 crores; EBITDA: Rs. 111 crores.

Strategic FocusImproving International Supply Chain: • Focus on performance enhancement and internal forecasting. • Technology integration (data science, generative AI) for operational efficiency. • Market Conditions: • Anticipated month-on-month volume improvement of 2% to 4.5%.

Sectoral InsightsContract Logistics: • Revenue decline due to cutting unprofitable business; gross profit and EBITDA increased. • Express Logistics: • 5% year-over-year volume growth; acquisition of contract logistics business completed.

Future Growth and TechnologyLCL Business Outlook: • Recent acquisition of FairTrade in Germany; expected to break even in 3-4 months. • Digital Transformation: • Digital bookings increased from 7-8% pre-pandemic to 66-67%. • Cost Savings: • Positive impact from technological advancements and increased customer loyalty.

Conclusion • Allcargo remains committed to leveraging technology for long-term growth while navigating current market challenges and focusing on improving operational efficiency and market share.

Summary from June 2023

Date and ContextDate of Call: June 1, 2023 • Company: Allcargo Logistics Limited • Financial Period: Quarter and year ended March 31, 2023 • Participants: Management representatives including Mr. Ravi Jakhar (Group Chief Strategy Officer) and Mr. Deepal Shah (Deputy Group CFO)

Key HighlightsFinancial Performance: • Net Cash Position: INR 604 crores • Consolidated Operating Revenue: INR 18,000 crores (down from INR 19,000 crores in FY'22) • EBITDA: INR 1,129 crores (down from INR 1,268 crores) • Profit After Tax: INR 653 crores (down from INR 824 crores) • Segment Performance: • International Supply Chain revenue: INR 16,333 crores (decline) • Gati Express business revenue: INR 1,469 crores (18% increase) • Contract Logistics revenue: INR 341 crores (stable)

Operational InsightsMarket Conditions: Positive outlook for India despite global challenges. • Technological Adoption: Focus on digitization and operational enhancements. • Future Expectations: Anticipation of gradual demand increase starting July influenced by seasonal trends.

Management CommentaryVolume Trends: April performance exceeded previous quarters; expectations for continued improvement. • Cost Management: Emphasis on controlling costs and improving profitability through technology. • One-off Costs: Clarified that significant operational costs were unique to the quarter and not expected to recur.

Future OutlookEBITDA Target: Confidence in achieving INR 1,700 crores by 2026 through volume expansion and market share growth. • Technological Improvements: Automation and tools like ChatGPT expected to enhance performance and reduce costs.

Investor EngagementQ&A Session: Addressed inquiries about financial metrics, operational costs, and future performance expectations. • Encouragement for Feedback: Management invited further questions and feedback from investors.

Summary from February 2023

Conference Call Overview • Date: February 14, 2023 • Participants: • Mr. Ravi Jakhar (Chief Strategy Officer) • Mr. Deepal Shah (Group CFO) • Moderator: Mr. Abhijeet Purohit (PhillipCapital) • Transcript available on the company's website • Forward-looking statements included, subject to risks

Demerger Announcement • NCLT order for demerger into three entities: Allcargo, Allcargo Terminals, TransIndia Realty • Shareholders to receive additional shares in new entities • Financial results reflect only continuing businesses

Financial Performance Highlights • Q3 FY '23 revenue: Rs. 4,099 crores (down from Rs. 5,599 crores in Q3 FY '22) • Nine-month consolidated revenue: Rs. 15,301 crores (7% increase YoY) • EBITDA for Q3 FY '23: Rs. 229 crores (down from Rs. 434 crores YoY) • Growth in Contract Logistics and Container Freight Station sectors

Market Conditions and Growth Outlook • Subdued growth in FCL business due to normalized freight rates and macroeconomic challenges • Anticipated recovery in growth starting mid-February • Focus on asset-light, digitally enabled businesses • Positive long-term outlook despite current challenges

Trade Lane Disruptions • Significant impact from disruptions in trade lanes, especially from China • Growth in U.S. and Vietnam markets due to sales acceleration • Anticipated recovery in trade from March onwards

Strategic Acquisitions • Small strategic acquisition in Turkey leading to volume increase • Larger acquisition expected in Germany

Financial Clarifications • Unallocated costs to be assigned during demerger • Marginal one-off expenses of $1.5 million confirmed • Net debt expected to be near zero by March 31, 2023

Volume Trends and Market Share • Quarter-on-quarter decline in FCL and LCL volumes • Despite challenges, Allcargo gained market share

Future Guidance • Revenue and EBITDA guidance for 2026 based on organic growth and small acquisitions • Management committed to improving clarity in future presentations

Conclusion • Management expressed commitment to addressing stakeholder feedback and providing clarity in future communications.